Match Info
NRL - Round 1Date: 28 February 2026, SaturdayLocation: Allegiant Stadium (Paradise, NV)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Australia | Fox League, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL |
France | beIN Sports 2 |
New-zealand | SKY Go NZ |
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 |
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Newcastle Knights |
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North Queensland Cowboys |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.3 |
26 |
1.65 |
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 |
2.4 |
18 |
1.7 |
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 |
2.35 |
20.45 |
1.66 |
Watch |
 |
2.25 |
19 |
1.62 |
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 |
2.35 |
25 |
1.63 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.33 ↓ (2.48) |
21.69 ↑ (20.08) |
1.65 ↑ (1.61) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 42.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
- The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Newcastle Knights 39.7% | Draw 4.3% | North Queensland Cowboys 56% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Newcastle Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)North Queensland Cowboys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Newcastle Knights - North Queensland Cowboys Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:23 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1. Ponga K.
| 1. Drinkwater S.
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2. Young D.
| 2. Burns B.
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3. Gagai D.
| 3. Purdue J.
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4. Best B.
| 4. Chester T.
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5. Marzhew G.
| 5. Taulagi M.
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6. Sharpe F.
| 6. Clifford J.
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7. Brown D.
| 7. Dearden T.
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8. Saifiti J.
| 8. Hess C.
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9. Crossland P.
| 9. Mahoney R.
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10. Mooney T.
| 10. Taumalolo J.
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11. Lucas D.
| 11. Luki H.
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12. McEwen J.
| 12. McIntyre S.
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15. Croker M.
| 13. Cotter R.
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| Substitutes |
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13. Frizell T.
| 14. Luke S.
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14. Smith S.
| 15. Mikaele T.
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16. Cant T.
| 17. O'Donnell K.
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17. Saulo P.
| 18. Neame G.
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18. Hunt F.
| 21. Lodge M.
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19. Manuleleua F.
| 22. Derby R.
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| Coaches |
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. Holbrook J.
| . Payten T.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (12 - 12)
- 7', Sharpe F. (Try),
- 8', Ponga K. (Conversion Goal),
- 14', Marzhew G. (Try),
- 15', Ponga K. (Conversion Goal),
- 26', Luki H. (Try),
- 27', Clifford J. (Conversion Goal),
- 31', Taulagi M. (Try),
- 32', Clifford J. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (16 - 6)
- 46', Best B. (Try),
- 47', Ponga K. (Conversion Goal),
- 49', Young D. (Try),
- 50', Ponga K. (Missed Conversion),
- 53', Taulagi M. (Try),
- 54', Clifford J. (Conversion Goal),
- 73', Mooney T. (Try),
- 74', Ponga K. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
Neutral location - Allegiant Stadium.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 0. North Queensland will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 380:461. (average 19:23.1).Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 198:94. (average 28.3:13.4).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NRL | | | 17.08.25 | North Queensland Cowboys - Newcastle Knights | 38:4 | | 14.09.24 | North Queensland Cowboys - Newcastle Knights | 28:16 | | 16.03.24 | North Queensland Cowboys - Newcastle Knights | 21:20 OT | | 22.04.23 | North Queensland Cowboys - Newcastle Knights | 18:16 | | 07.05.22 | North Queensland Cowboys - Newcastle Knights | 36:16 | | 03.07.21 | Newcastle Knights - North Queensland Cowboys | 38:0 | | 20.05.21 | North Queensland Cowboys - Newcastle Knights | 36:20 |
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