Match Info
NRL - Round 10Date: 9 May 2026, SaturdayLocation: 4 Pines Park (Brookvale)Referee: Sutton G. (Aus)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | Fox League, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ |
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Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles |
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Brisbane Broncos |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.91 |
21 |
1.91 |
|
 |
2 |
15 |
2 |
|
 |
1.99 |
20.62 |
1.91 |
|
 |
2 |
21 |
1.91 |
|
 |
2 |
19 |
1.83 |
|
 |
1.92 |
22 |
1.95 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↑
(1.95) |
19.77 ↓
(23.5) |
1.92 ↑
(1.89) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 50.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
- The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles
47% | Draw
4.7% | Brisbane Broncos
48.3% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Brisbane Broncos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Broncos than the current prediction. (-2.4%)Manly Warringah Sea Eagles - Brisbane Broncos Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Manly-Warringah will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Brisbane will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:26 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1.  Koula T.
| 1.  Walsh R.
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2. Saab J.
| 2.  Karapani J.
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3. Faulalo C.
| 3. Arthars J.
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4. Garrick R.
| 4. Shibasaki G.
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5. Hopoate L.
| 5. Verhoeven A.
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6. Brooks L.
| 6. Mam E.
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8. Paseka T.
| 9. Paix C.
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9.  Wakeham B.
| 10. Gosiewski J.
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10. Bullemor E.
| 11. Willison X.
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11. Olakau'atu H.
| 12. Riki J.
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12. Trbojevic B.
| 13. Carrigan P. (C)
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13. Trbojevic J. (C)
| 15. Riki P.
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19. Walsh J.
| 21. Hunt B.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
14. Simpkin J.
| 7. Duffy T.
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15.  Brown N.
| 8. Talty B.
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16. Shereb J.
| 16. Semu V.
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17. Taukeiaho S.
| 17. Tawha A.
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18. Wilson B.
| 18. Perham H.
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21. Dockar-Clay Z.
| 19. Coates P.
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| Coaches |
|---|
. Foran K.
| . Maguire M.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (16 - 4)
- 3', Walsh J. (Try),
- 4', Garrick R. (Conversion Goal),
- 6', Verhoeven A. (Try),
- 7', Walsh R. (Missed Conversion),
- 17', Hopoate L. (Try),
- 19', Garrick R. (Conversion Goal),
- 36', Garrick R. (Penalty Goal),
- 40', Garrick R. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (16 - 0)
- 45', Taukeiaho S. (Try),
- 46', Garrick R. (Conversion Goal),
- 58', Koula T. (Try),
- 60', Garrick R. (Missed Conversion),
- 79', Garrick R. (Try),
- 79', Garrick R. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 10).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manly-Warringah won 1.Manly-Warringah is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).Brisbane has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Manly-Warringah may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Manly-Warringah has had a series of away games. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Manly-Warringah won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 373:453. (average 18.7:22.7).Including home matches between the teams, Manly-Warringah won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 291:289. (average 19.4:19.3).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NRL | | | 31.05.25 | Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - Brisbane Broncos | 34:6 | | 17.05.24 | Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - Brisbane Broncos | 12:13 | | 24.02.24 | Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - Brisbane Broncos | 14:40 | | 05.05.23 | Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - Brisbane Broncos | 6:32 | | 13.05.22 | Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - Brisbane Broncos | 0:38 | | 14.05.21 | Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - Brisbane Broncos | 50:6 | | 11.06.20 | Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - Brisbane Broncos | 20:18 |
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