The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Castleford Tigers 45.1%
Draw 5.5%
Bradford Bulls 49.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
55.4%
5%
39.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54%
4.9%
40.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castleford Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castleford Tigers's form might have worsened.
Bradford Bulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bradford Bulls's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castleford Tigers than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castleford Tigers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bradford Bulls than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bradford Bulls, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
0%
75%
Castleford Tigers - Bradford Bulls Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Castleford will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Bradford will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 18:20
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
2. Valemei S.
. Blake W.
3. Cini Z.
1. Aekins C.
4. McIntosh D.
3.
6. Asi D.
4. Chamberlain E.
7. Weaver T.
6. Nikorima J.
8. Atoni R.
9. Ackers A.
10. Lawler G.
16. Lewis L.
11. Lane J.
19. Ryan E.
16. Westerman J.
21. Sutton R.
22. Qareqare J.
26. Hooley L.
23. Mapapalangi K.
67. Ruan L.
32. Hirst G.
69. Milnes R.
33. Forber T.
98. Mellor J.
Substitutes
14. Greacen B.
. Hallas S.
20. Doolan A.
. Steinwede P.
24. Windley J.
. Wynne C.
25. Hall S.
17. Atkin C.
30. Beckett J.
18. Ormondroyd J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (22 - 16)
2', Marsters E. (Try),
4', Hooley L. (Conversion Goal),
7', Qareqare J. (Try),
9', Weaver T. (Conversion Goal),
17', Hooley L. (Penalty Goal),
21', Hooley L. (Penalty Goal),
25', Qareqare J. (Try),
26', Weaver T. (Conversion Goal),
32', Mellor J. (Try),
33', Hooley L. (Conversion Goal),
38', McIntosh D. (Try),
40+1', Qareqare J. (Try),
40+1', Weaver T. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (18 - 12)
42', Lawler G. (Try),
43', Weaver T. (Conversion Goal),
45', Weaver T. (Try),
46', Weaver T. (Conversion Goal),
51', McIntosh D. (Try),
52', Weaver T. (Conversion Goal),
60', Hooley L. (Try),
60', Hooley L. (Conversion Goal),
79', Marsters E. (Try),
80', Hooley L. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castleford won 3.
Castleford is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Bradford has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Castleford won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 142:126. (average 20.3:18).
Including home matches between the teams, Castleford won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 78:52. (average 26:17.3).
Australia
United-kingdom
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Valemei S. 
Cini Z. 
Aekins C. 
McIntosh D. 
Chamberlain E. 
Mapapalangi K. 
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