Match Info

NRL - Round 27

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Shark Park (Sydney)

Referee: Smith T. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Fox League, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Germany	Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ


	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks		Melbourne Storm

	1	X	2
	3.1	26	1.38
	3.4	18	1.35
	3.25	23	1.33	Watch
	3.30		1.33
	3.3	22	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (1.5)	17.8 ↓ (24.5)	1.35 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 51.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-16)

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks
27.7%

Draw
5.1%

Melbourne Storm
67.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.1%

3.8%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-34.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks's form might have worsened.

Melbourne Storm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+33.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melbourne Storm's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks than the current prediction. (+30.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Storm than the current prediction. (-31.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melbourne Storm, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Cronulla Sutherland Sharks - Melbourne Storm Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Cronulla-Sutherland will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:18

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kennedy W.	1. Faalogo S.
2. Katoa S.	2. Tuimalatu-Brown S.
3. Jones R.	3. Wishart T.
4. Gabrael M.	4. Meaney N.
5. Mulitalo R.	5. Leo M.
6. Pollard R.	6. Munster C.
7. Puru N.	7. Hughes J.
8. Fonua-Blake A.	8. Utoikamanu S.
9. Puru H.	9. Grant H.
11. Nikora B.	10. King J.
12. Burns B.	11. Blore S.
13. McInnes C.	12. Keeley O.
15. Rudolf T.	13. Loiero T.
Substitutes
10. Colquhoun J.	14. Toelau T.
14. Talakai S.	15. Clarke C.
16. Kaufusi O.	16. Hetherington J.
17. Hamlin-Uele B.	17. MacDonald A.
21. Stonestreet S.	18. Hinchey A.
22. Iro K.	19. Peel H.
Coaches
. Fitzgibbon C.	. Bellamy C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (18 - 12)
12', Peel H. (Try),
14', Meaney N. (Conversion Goal),
19', Faalogo S. (Try),
20', Meaney N. (Conversion Goal),
32', Katoa S. (Try),
33', Puru N. (Conversion Goal),
35', Jones R. (Try),
37', Puru N. (Conversion Goal),
40', Burns B. (Try),
40', Puru N. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (2 - 12)
47', MacDonald A. (Try),
49', Meaney N. (Conversion Goal),
61', Puru N. (Penalty Goal),
80', Loiero T. (Try),
80+1', Meaney N. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cronulla-Sutherland won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Cronulla-Sutherland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Melbourne is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cronulla-Sutherland won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 299:463. (average 15:23.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Cronulla-Sutherland won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 132:112. (average 18.9:16).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks
Australian NRL
30.08.26	Parramatta Eels - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	38:18 ✺
23.08.26	Gold Coast Titans - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	22:30 ✺
15.08.26	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Canberra Raiders	20:24 ✺
09.08.26	St. George Illawarra Dragons - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	24:16 ✺
02.08.26	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - South Sydney Rabbitohs	32:16 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLLW
- Melbourne Storm
Australian NRL
27.08.26	Brisbane Broncos - Melbourne Storm	20:46 ✺
20.08.26	Melbourne Storm - Penrith Panthers	14:22 ✺
08.08.26	Melbourne Storm - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles	42:20 ✺
31.07.26	Melbourne Storm - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	22:36 ✺
24.07.26	South Sydney Rabbitohs - Melbourne Storm	28:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NRL
26.09.25	Melbourne Storm - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	22:14
29.06.25	Melbourne Storm - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	30:6
17.05.25	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Melbourne Storm	31:26
14.09.24	Melbourne Storm - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	37:10
11.05.24	Melbourne Storm - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	18:25
11.06.23	Melbourne Storm - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	54:10
07.07.22	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Melbourne Storm	28:6

Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Melbourne Storm: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide