Match Info

NRL - Round 10

Date: 7 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Suncorp Stadium (Brisbane)

Referee: Atkins G. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Fox League, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL
France	beIN Sports 2
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ


	Dolphins		Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs

	1	X	2
	1.33	29	3.4
	1.4	20	3.3
	1.4	22.78	3.18	Watch
	1.3	26	3.5
	1.37	20	3.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.67)	23.56 ↓ (25.25)	3.32 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 51.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Dolphins
68.2%

Draw
3.9%

Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs
27.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.5%

3.7%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

3.5%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dolphins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dolphins's performance.

Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dolphins than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dolphins that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dolphins - Canterbury Bankstown Bulldogs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:23

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tabuai-Fidow H.	1. Tracey C.
2. Isaako J.	2. Sua J.
3. Bostock J.	3. Xerri B.
4. Farnworth H.	4. Crichton S.
5. Cobbo S.	5. Tuala E.
7. Katoa I.	7. Galvin L.
8. Flegler T.	8. Hughes S.
9. Plath M.	9. Hayward B.
10. Molo F.	10. Thompson L.
11. Lemuelu C.	11. Tupouniua S.
12. Finefeuiaki K.	12. Preston J.
13. Knowles M.	13. Salmon J.
18. Nikorima K.	15. O'Sullivan S.
Substitutes
6. Schneider B.	14. Alekolasimi J.
14. Stone R.	16. Hayes H.
15. Gilbert T.	17. Curran J.
16. Kaufusi F.	20. Hopoi L.
19. Marshall-King J.	21. Rinakama J.
21. Naufahu T.	23. Spinks L.
Coaches
. Woolf K.	. Ciraldo C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (14 - 12)
9', Salmon J. (Try),
10', Crichton S. (Conversion Goal),
17', Crichton S. (Penalty Goal),
21', Isaako J. (Try),
22', Isaako J. (Missed Conversion),
26', Crichton S. (Try),
27', Crichton S. (Missed Conversion),
32', Cobbo S. (Try),
32', Isaako J. (Missed Conversion),
38', Isaako J. (Try),
40', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (30 - 0)
45', Isaako J. (Try),
47', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
57', Marshall-King J. (Try),
58', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
61', Bostock J. (Try),
62', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
66', Nikorima K. (Try),
68', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
78', Cobbo S. (Try),
79', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 12).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Dolphins will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dolphins won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 76:61. (average 25.3:20.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dolphins NRL
Australian NRL
01.05.26	Dolphins - Melbourne Storm	28:10 ✺
25.04.26	New Zealand Warriors - Dolphins	20:18 ✺
17.04.26	Dolphins - Penrith Panthers	22:23 OT ✺
02.04.26	Dolphins - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles	18:52 ✺
27.03.26	Brisbane Broncos - Dolphins	26:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLL
- Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs
Australian NRL
01.05.26	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs - North Queensland Cowboys	12:28 ✺
24.04.26	Brisbane Broncos - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	32:12 ✺
19.04.26	Parramatta Eels - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	38:20 ✺
09.04.26	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs - Penrith Panthers	32:16 ✺
03.04.26	South Sydney Rabbitohs - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	32:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NRL
22.05.25	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs - Dolphins	8:44
17.08.24	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs - Dolphins	30:10
30.07.23	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs - Dolphins	23:22

Dolphins - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide