Match Info
NRL - Round 2Date: 15 March 2026, SundayLocation: 4 Pines Park (Brookvale)Referee: Smith T. (Aus)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | Fox League, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ |
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Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles |
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Newcastle Knights |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.55 |
26 |
2.55 |
|
 |
1.55 |
18 |
2.8 |
|
 |
1.55 |
20.63 |
2.64 |
|
 |
1.53 |
19 |
2.5 |
|
 |
1.51 |
19 |
2.72 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↓
(1.59) |
20.53 ↓
(20.62) |
2.64 ↑
(2.44) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 53.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
- The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles
60.3% | Draw
4.5% | Newcastle Knights
35.1% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Newcastle Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Manly Warringah Sea Eagles - Newcastle Knights Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -4.5, OT - Manly-Warringah (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Manly-Warringah (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:25 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1.  Trbojevic T. (C)
| 1. Ponga K. (C)
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2. Saab J.
| 2.  Young D.
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3.  Koula T.
| 3. Gagai D.
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4. Garrick R.
| 4. Best B.
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5. Hopoate L.
| 5. Marzhew G.
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6. Brooks L.
| 6. Smith S.
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7. Fogarty J.
| 7.  Brown D.
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8. Paseka T.
| 8.  Saifiti J.
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9. Simpkin J.
| 9. Crossland P.
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10. Hetherington K.
| 10. Mooney T.
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11. Olakau'atu H.
| 11. Lucas D.
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12. Trbojevic B.
| 12. McEwen J.
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13. Trbojevic J.
| 15. Croker M.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
15.  Brown N.
| 13. Frizell T.
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16. Bullemor E.
| 14. Cant T.
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17. Bryan P.
| 16. Saulo P.
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18. Wakeham B.
| 17. Manuleleua F.
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19. Feledy J.
| 18. Hunt F.
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20. Waddell C.
| 19. Graham H.
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| Coaches |
|---|
. Seibold A.
| . Holbrook J.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (10 - 30)
- 2', Marzhew G. (Try),
- 3', Ponga K. (Conversion Goal),
- 12', Young D. (Try),
- 14', Ponga K. (Conversion Goal),
- 15', Fogarty J. (Try),
- 17', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
- 21', Trbojevic T. (Try),
- 22', Fogarty J. (Missed Conversion),
- 26', Ponga K. (Try),
- 27', Smith S. (Conversion Goal),
- 36', Hunt F. (Try),
- 38', Smith S. (Conversion Goal),
- 39', Frizell T. (Try),
- 40', Smith S. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (6 - 6)
- 44', Olakau'atu H. (Try),
- 46', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
- 47', Young D. (Try),
- 68', Smith S. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manly-Warringah won 2. Manly-Warringah is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Manly-Warringah won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 519:313. (average 26:15.7).Including home matches between the teams, Manly-Warringah won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 345:162. (average 28.8:13.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 57.85%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NRL | | | 05.06.25 | Newcastle Knights - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles | 26:22 OT | | 14.07.24 | Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - Newcastle Knights | 44:6 | | 28.05.23 | Newcastle Knights - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles | 28:18 | | 01.04.23 | Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - Newcastle Knights | 32:32 | | 16.07.22 | Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - Newcastle Knights | 42:12 | | 07.04.22 | Newcastle Knights - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles | 6:30 | | 30.05.21 | Newcastle Knights - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles | 18:10 |
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