Match Info
NRL - Round 27Date: 5 September 2026, SaturdayLocation: Go Media Stadium (Auckland)Referee: Sutton G. (Aus)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | Fox League, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Action |
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New Zealand Warriors |
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Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.3 |
26 |
3.6 |
|
 |
1.32 |
18 |
3.6 |
|
 |
1.29 |
26 |
3.5 |
|
 |
1.31 |
27 |
3.58 |
 Watch |
 |
1.28 |
25 |
3.9 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.3 ↑
(1.28) |
24.4 ↓
(26.4) |
3.64 ↓
(3.75) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 50.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)
- The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
New Zealand Warriors
70.9% | Draw
3.8% | Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles
25.3% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:New Zealand Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)New Zealand Warriors - Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:20 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1.  Nicoll-Klokstad C.
| 1.  Trbojevic T.
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2. Pompey A.
| 2. Saab J.
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3. Leiataua A.
| 3. Feledy J.
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5. Khan-Pereira A.
| 4. Garrick R.
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6.  Harris-Tavita C.
| 5. Hopoate L.
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7. Martin T.
| 6. Faulalo C.
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8. Fisher-Harris J.
| 7. Fogarty J.
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9. Healey S.
| 8. Laiafi S.
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10. Barnett M.
| 9.  Wakeham B.
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11. Ieremia-Toeava E.
| 10.  Brown N.
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12. Laban J.
| 11.  Olakau'atu H.
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13. Clark E.
| 12. Trbojevic B.
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18. Tuaupiki T.
| 13. Trbojevic J.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
14. Tafua M.
| 14. Simpkin J.
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15. Stowers-Smith T.
| 16. Waddell C.
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16. Vaimauga D.
| 17. Navale C.
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17.  Gannon M.
| 18. Large O.
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21. Cleary J.
| 19. Baker F.
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22. Linnane J.
| 22. Shereb J.
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| Coaches |
|---|
. Webster A.
| . Foran K.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (20 - 12)
- 5', Garrick R. (Try),
- 7', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
- 12', Pompey A. (Try),
- 13', Tuaupiki T. (Missed Conversion),
- 17', Hopoate L. (Try),
- 19', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
- 21', Tuaupiki T. (Try),
- 23', Tuaupiki T. (Conversion Goal),
- 26', Tuaupiki T. (Try),
- 28', Tuaupiki T. (Conversion Goal),
- 31', Nicoll-Klokstad C. (Try),
- 32', Tuaupiki T. (Missed Conversion),
- 2nd Half (11 - 18)
- 46', Nicoll-Klokstad C. (Try),
- 47', Tuaupiki T. (Missed Conversion),
- 49', Feledy J. (Try),
- 51', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
- 52', Hopoate L. (Try),
- 53', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
- 65', Garrick R. (Try),
- 67', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
- 68', Tuaupiki T. (Try),
- 70', Tuaupiki T. (Conversion Goal),
- 74', Harris-Tavita C. (Missed Drop Goal),
- 76', Fogarty J. (Missed Drop Goal),
- 76', Harris-Tavita C. (Missed Drop Goal),
- 78', Harris-Tavita C. (Drop Goal),
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 9).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 1.New Zealand has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).In recent matches, Manly-Warringah has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Manly-Warringah may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, New Zealand is a strong favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 431:492. (average 21.6:24.6).Including home matches between the teams, New Zealand won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 243:236. (average 22.1:21.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NRL | | | 13.02.26 | New Zealand Warriors - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles | 18:33 | | 05.09.25 | Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - New Zealand Warriors | 27:26 | | 14.03.25 | New Zealand Warriors - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles | 36:16 | | 16.08.24 | Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - New Zealand Warriors | 24:10 | | 13.04.24 | New Zealand Warriors - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles | 22:22 OT | | 18.08.23 | New Zealand Warriors - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles | 29:22 | | 04.06.22 | Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - New Zealand Warriors | 44:12 |
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