Match Info

NRL - Round 1

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: 4 Pines Park (Brookvale)

Referee: Kennedy L. (Nzl)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
Australia	Fox League, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL
France	beIN Sports 3
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 2
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Action


	Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles		Canberra Raiders

	1	X	2
	1.83	21	2
	1.83	17	2
	1.9	15	2.1
	1.86	18.19	2.07
	1.73	19	2.1
	1.86	21	2.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.93)	18.53 ↑ (18.19)	2.05 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 44.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles
50.1%

Draw
5%

Canberra Raiders
44.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.7%

5.1%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Canberra Raiders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles - Canberra Raiders Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Manly-Warringah will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:23

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trbojevic T. (C)	1. Weekes K.
2. Saab J.	2. Tamale S.
3. Koula T.	3. Sasagi S.
4. Garrick R.	4. Kris S.
5. Hopoate L.	5. Savage X.
6. Brooks L.	6. Strange E.
7. Fogarty J.	7. Sanders E.
8. Paseka T.	8. Papalii J.
9. Simpkin J.	9. Starling T.
10. Taukeiaho S.	10. Tapine J. (C)
11. Olakau'atu H.	11. Young H.
12. Trbojevic B.	12. Martin N.
13. Trbojevic J.	13. Horsburgh C.
Substitutes
14. Walsh J.	14. Brailey J.
15. Hetherington K.	15. Hosking Z.
16. Bullemor E.	16. Mariota A.
17. Brown N.	17. Smithies M.
18. Faulalo C.	18. Laurie D.
20. Waddell C.	19. Stuart J.
Coaches
. Seibold A.	. Stuart R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (14 - 6)
4', Trbojevic T. (Try),
5', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
10', Fogarty J. (Penalty Goal),
17', Olakau'atu H. (Try),
19', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
20', Martin N. (Try),
21', Sanders E. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (14 - 22)
46', Martin N. (Try),
47', Sanders E. (Conversion Goal),
49', Savage X. (Try),
51', Sanders E. (Conversion Goal),
53', Savage X. (Try),
55', Sanders E. (Missed Conversion),
68', Sanders E. (Try),
68', Sanders E. (Conversion Goal),
73', Koula T. (Try),
74', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
75', Fogarty J. (Try),
76', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
80+1', Fogarty J. (Penalty Goal),
Extra Time (0 - 1)
82', Sanders E. (Drop Goal),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manly-Warringah won 3.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Manly-Warringah won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 469:448. (average 23.5:22.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Manly-Warringah won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 228:203. (average 25.3:22.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles
Australian NRL
22.02.26	South Sydney Rabbitohs - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles	30:6 ✺
13.02.26	New Zealand Warriors - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles	18:33 ✺
05.09.25	Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - New Zealand Warriors	27:26 ✺
30.08.25	St. George Illawarra Dragons - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles	24:40 ✺
23.08.25	Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - Dolphins	58:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 LWWWW
- Canberra Raiders
Australian NRL
20.02.26	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Canberra Raiders	48:6 ✺
13.02.26	Canberra Raiders - Melbourne Storm	32:6 ✺
20.09.25	Canberra Raiders - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	12:32 ✺
14.09.25	Canberra Raiders - Brisbane Broncos	28:26 ✺
07.09.25	Dolphins - Canberra Raiders	62:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NRL
08.08.25	Canberra Raiders - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles	28:12
23.03.25	Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - Canberra Raiders	40:12
10.08.24	Canberra Raiders - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles	24:46
03.05.24	Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - Canberra Raiders	24:26
21.05.23	Canberra Raiders - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles	14:42
27.08.22	Canberra Raiders - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles	48:6
02.04.22	Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - Canberra Raiders	25:6

Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - Canberra Raiders: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide