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Current Win Probability
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles 66.6%
Draw 4.6%
New Zealand Warriors 28.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
59%
4.2%
36.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.7%
4.2%
37%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles's performance.
New Zealand Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New Zealand Warriors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Zealand Warriors than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that New Zealand Warriors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
0%
25%
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles - New Zealand Warriors Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Manly-Warringah will win (votes: 3 - 75%). New Zealand will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. New Zealand (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:21
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Trbojevic T.
1. Nicoll-Klokstad C.
2. Saab J.
2. Watene-Zelezniak D.
3. Faulalo C.
3. Pompey A.
4. Talau T.
4. Berry R.
5. Hopoate L.
5. Tuivasa-Sheck R.
6. Brooks L.
6. Harris-Tavita C.
7. Cherry-Evans D. (C)
7. Boyd T.
8. Lodge M.
8. Fisher-Harris J. (C)
9. Simpkin J.
9. Healey S.
10. Taukeiaho S.
10. Stowers-Smith T.
11. Waddell C.
11. Capewell K.
12. Trbojevic B.
12. Niukore M.
13. Tevaga J.
13. Clark E.
Substitutes
14. Walsh J.
14. Martin T.
15. Navale C.
15. Ieremia-Toeava E.
16. Bullemor E.
16. Vaimauga D.
18. Schoupp A.
17. Halasima L.
Coaches
. Seibold A.
. Webster A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (14 - 10)
1', Fisher-Harris J. (Try),
2', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
5', Hopoate L. (Try),
6', Cherry-Evans D. (Conversion Goal),
9', Simpkin J. (Try),
11', Cherry-Evans D. (Missed Conversion),
16', Hopoate L. (Try),
18', Cherry-Evans D. (Missed Conversion),
35', Watene-Zelezniak D. (Try),
36', Boyd T. (Missed Conversion),
2nd Half (13 - 16)
43', Brooks L. (Try),
44', Cherry-Evans D. (Conversion Goal),
49', Bullemor E. (Try),
50', Cherry-Evans D. (Conversion Goal),
54', Nicoll-Klokstad C. (Try),
56', Boyd T. (Missed Conversion),
73', Healey S. (Try),
74', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
76', Cherry-Evans D. (Drop Goal),
80', Watene-Zelezniak D. (Try),
80', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manly-Warringah won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Manly-Warringah might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Manly-Warringah won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 486:411. (average 24.3:20.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Manly-Warringah won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 229:162. (average 28.6:20.3).
Australia
France
Germany
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Trbojevic T. 
Nicoll-Klokstad C. 
Tuivasa-Sheck R. 
Taukeiaho S. 
Navale C. 
