Match Info
NRL - Round 11Date: 16 May 2026, SaturdayLocation: Suncorp Stadium (Brisbane)Referee: Atkins G. (Aus)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Australia | Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL |
New-zealand | SKY Go NZ |
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Wests Tigers |
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Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.5 |
26 |
1.32 |
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 |
3.3 |
20 |
1.4 |
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 |
3.41 |
22.41 |
1.36 |
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3.3 |
26 |
1.33 |
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 |
3.28 |
20 |
1.37 |
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 |
3.75 |
26 |
1.29 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.42 ↑ (3.16) |
23.4 ↓ (24.5) |
1.35 ↓ (1.39) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 52.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-12)
- The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Wests Tigers 27.1% | Draw 4% | Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles 68.9% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Wests Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wests Tigers than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles than the current prediction. (-2%)Wests Tigers - Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:32 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1. Mason H.
| 1. Faulalo C.
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2. Turuva S.
| 2. Saab J.
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3. Herbert P.
| 3. Koula T.
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4. May T.
| 4. Garrick R.
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5. Laulili'i L.
| 5. Hopoate L.
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6. Luai J.
| 6. Brooks L.
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7. Madden J.
| 7. Fogarty J.
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8. May T.
| 8. Paseka T.
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9. Fainu L.
| 10. Bullemor E.
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10. Pole F.
| 11. Olakau'atu H.
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11. Fainu S.
| 12. Trbojevic B.
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12. Pearce-Paul K.
| 13. Trbojevic J.
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16. Seyfarth A.
| 14. Dockar-Clay Z.
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| Substitutes |
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14. Hope T.
| 9. Simpkin J.
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15. Geyer M.
| 15. Brown N.
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17. Hunt R.
| 16. Hetherington K.
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18. Roberts E.
| 17. Shereb J.
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19. Skelton J.
| 18. Wilson B.
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21. Afoa B.
| 19. Walsh J.
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| Coaches |
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. Marshall B.
| . Foran K.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (8 - 24)
- 03:38, Koula T. (Try),
- 04:58, Garrick R. (Conversion Goal),
- 09:48, Saab J. (Try),
- 11:08, Garrick R. (Conversion Goal),
- 15:55, Hopoate L. (Try),
- 17:24, Garrick R. (Conversion Goal),
- 21:57, Laulili'i L. (Try),
- 23:45, Madden J. (Conversion Goal),
- 32:00, Faulalo C. (Try),
- 33:31, Garrick R. (Conversion Goal),
- 40:01, Madden J. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (10 - 22)
- 43:15, Olakau'atu H. (Try),
- 44:48, Garrick R. (Conversion Goal),
- 55:30, Saab J. (Try),
- 56:58, Garrick R. (Missed Conversion),
- 58:59, Paseka T. (Try),
- 60:19, Garrick R. (Conversion Goal),
- 61:15, Saab J. (Try),
- 62:42, Garrick R. (Conversion Goal),
- 74:16, Skelton J. (Try),
- 75:29, Madden J. (Missed Conversion),
- 78:47, Pearce-Paul K. (Try),
- 79:57, Herbert P. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wests won 2.In recent matches, Wests has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).Manly-Warringah is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4). In this match, Manly-Warringah is considered a favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wests won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 424:558. (average 21.2:27.9).Including home matches between the teams, Wests won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 228:222. (average 22.8:22.2).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NRL | | | 17.08.25 | Wests Tigers - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles | 26:12 | | 27.06.25 | Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - Wests Tigers | 28:10 | | 22.08.24 | Wests Tigers - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles | 34:26 | | 01.09.23 | Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - Wests Tigers | 54:12 | | 23.04.23 | Wests Tigers - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles | 16:22 | | 12.06.22 | Wests Tigers - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles | 4:30 | | 07.05.22 | Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - Wests Tigers | 36:22 |
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