Match Info
NRL - Round 7Date: 16 April 2026, ThursdayLocation: Queensland Country Bank Stadium (Townsville)Referee: Sutton G. (Aus)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Australia | Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL |
France | beIN Sports 2 |
New-zealand | SKY Go NZ |
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North Queensland Cowboys |
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Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.65 |
23 |
2.3 |
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 |
1.65 |
18 |
2.5 |
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 |
1.58 |
22.69 |
2.52 |
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 |
1.57 |
19 |
2.38 |
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1.59 |
18 |
2.5 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.61 ↑ (1.53) |
20.14 ↓ (23.39) |
2.44 ↓ (2.6) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 54.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
- The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
North Queensland Cowboys 57.5% | Draw 4.6% | Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles 37.9% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:North Queensland Cowboys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Queensland Cowboys than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles than the current prediction. (-2.5%)North Queensland Cowboys - Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. North Queensland will win (votes: 4 - 100%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. North Queensland (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:24 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1. Drinkwater S.
| 1. Trbojevic T.
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2. Burns B.
| 2. Saab J.
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3. Purdue J.
| 3. Koula T.
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4. Chester T.
| 4. Garrick R.
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5. Laybutt Z.
| 5. Hopoate L.
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6. Clifford J.
| 6. Brooks L.
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7. Dearden T.
| 7. Fogarty J.
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8. Hess C.
| 8. Paseka T.
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9. Luke S.
| 9. Wakeham B.
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10. Taumalolo J.
| 10. Hetherington K.
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11. Luki H.
| 11. Olakau'atu H.
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12. O'Donnell K.
| 12. Trbojevic B.
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13. Cotter R.
| 13. Trbojevic J.
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| Substitutes |
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14. McIntyre S.
| 14. Simpkin J.
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15. Neame G.
| 15. Waddell C.
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16. Mikaele T.
| 16. Bullemor E.
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17. Lodge M.
| 17. Taukeiaho S.
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18. Vailea V.
| 19. Faulalo C.
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20. Edwards H.
| 20. Shereb J.
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| Coaches |
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. Payten T.
| . Foran K.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (6 - 22)
- 5', Hopoate L. (Try),
- 7', Fogarty J. (Missed Conversion),
- 17', Hopoate L. (Try),
- 18', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
- 22', Hess C. (Try),
- 23', Clifford J. (Conversion Goal),
- 28', Trbojevic B. (Try),
- 30', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
- 37', Wakeham B. (Try),
- 38', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 16)
- 61', Fogarty J. (Penalty Goal),
- 65', Paseka T. (Try),
- 67', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
- 68', Brooks L. (Try),
- 69', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
- 79', Fogarty J. (Penalty Goal),
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 10).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Queensland won 2.North Queensland is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).Manly-Warringah has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). North Queensland is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, North Queensland won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 386:480. (average 19.3:24).Including home matches between the teams, North Queensland won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 176:257. (average 17.6:25.7).
Last Results with these Odds
North Queensland Cowboys - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 60.46%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NRL | | | 17.05.25 | North Queensland Cowboys - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles | 6:24 | | 08.03.25 | Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - North Queensland Cowboys | 42:12 | | 06.07.24 | North Queensland Cowboys - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles | 20:21 OT | | 15.07.23 | Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - North Queensland Cowboys | 8:19 | | 17.06.22 | Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - North Queensland Cowboys | 26:28 | | 04.09.21 | North Queensland Cowboys - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles | 18:46 | | 11.06.21 | Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - North Queensland Cowboys | 50:18 |
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