Match Info
NRL - Round 9Date: 2 May 2026, SaturdayLocation: CommBank Stadium (Sydney)Referee: Sutton G. (Aus)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ |
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Parramatta Eels |
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New Zealand Warriors |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.7 |
26 |
1.47 |
|
 |
2.7 |
18 |
1.58 |
|
 |
2.78 |
22.96 |
1.49 |
 Watch |
 |
2.7 |
26 |
1.44 |
|
 |
2.92 |
17 |
1.45 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.76 ↑
(2.43) |
21.99 ↓
(24.5) |
1.49 ↓
(1.59) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 52.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)
- The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Parramatta Eels
33.5% | Draw
4.2% | New Zealand Warriors
62.3% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Parramatta Eels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)New Zealand Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parramatta Eels than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Zealand Warriors than the current prediction. (-2.9%)Parramatta Eels - New Zealand Warriors Predictions
Users Predictions:
New Zealand Warriors will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:29 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1.  Papalii J.
| 1. Tuaupiki T.
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2. Kelly B.
| 2.  Watene-Zelezniak D.
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3.  Penisini W.
| 3.  Tuivasa-Sheck R.
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4. Russell S.
| 4. Pompey A.
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5. Addo-Carr J.
| 5. Khan-Pereira A.
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6. Volkman R.
| 6. Harris-Tavita C.
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7. Moses M.
| 7. Boyd T.
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8.  Moretti L.
| 8. Fisher-Harris J.
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9. Smith R.
| 9. Egan W.
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10. Paulo J.
| 10. Ford J.
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12.  Williams J.
| 11. Halasima L.
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13. De Belin J.
| 12. Capewell K.
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18. Tuilagi K.
| 13. Clark E.
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| Substitutes |
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11. Guymer C.
| 14. Healey S.
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14. Da Silva T.
| 16. Vaimauga D.
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15. Pryke S.
| 17. Laban J.
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17. Walker D.
| 18. Ieremia-Toeava E.
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19. Talataina L.
| 20. Metcalf L.
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21. Brown T.
| 21. Fatialofa K.
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| Coaches |
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. Ryles J.
| . Webster A.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (6 - 16)
- 5', Volkman R. (Try),
- 6', Moses M. (Conversion Goal),
- 14', Halasima L. (Try),
- 16', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
- 19', Khan-Pereira A. (Try),
- 20', Boyd T. (Missed Conversion),
- 25', Watene-Zelezniak D. (Try),
- 26', Boyd T. (Missed Conversion),
- 40+1', Boyd T. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (8 - 20)
- 45', Penisini W. (Try),
- 46', Moses M. (Missed Conversion),
- 51', Boyd T. (Penalty Goal),
- 60', Volkman R. (Try),
- 61', Moses M. (Missed Conversion),
- 64', Ford J. (Try),
- 66', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
- 70', Khan-Pereira A. (Try),
- 72', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
- 77', Tuivasa-Sheck R. (Try),
- 78', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Parramatta won 4.Recent form of Parramatta has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).New Zealand's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3). New Zealand is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Parramatta won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 394:372. (average 21.9:20.7).Including home matches between the teams, Parramatta won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 197:177. (average 21.9:19.7).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NRL | | | 29.08.25 | New Zealand Warriors - Parramatta Eels | 22:26 | | 02.08.24 | New Zealand Warriors - Parramatta Eels | 20:30 | | 08.07.23 | Parramatta Eels - New Zealand Warriors | 10:46 | | 15.07.22 | Parramatta Eels - New Zealand Warriors | 28:18 | | 15.05.21 | New Zealand Warriors - Parramatta Eels | 18:34 | | 06.09.20 | New Zealand Warriors - Parramatta Eels | 18:24 | | 27.07.19 | Parramatta Eels - New Zealand Warriors | 24:22 |
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