The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
South Sydney Rabbitohs 38.1%
Draw 4.4%
Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks 57.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
59.1%
3.9%
37%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.8%
4%
37.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
South Sydney Rabbitohs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that South Sydney Rabbitohs's form might have worsened.
Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Sydney Rabbitohs than the current prediction. (+19.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for South Sydney Rabbitohs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks than the current prediction. (-19.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
South Sydney Rabbitohs - Cronulla Sutherland Sharks Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:29
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gray J.
1. Kennedy W.
2. Johnston A.
2. Hiroti M.
4. Graham C.
3. Talakai S.
5. Kosi E.
4. Iro K.
6. Walker C.
5. Stonestreet S.
7. Ward A.
6. Trindall B.
8. Koloamatangi K.
7. Hynes N.
9. Garlick B.
8. Fonua-Blake A.
10. Keppie S.
9. Brailey B. (C)
11. Aitken E.
10. Rudolf T.
12. Duncan T.
11. Nikora B.
13. Murray C. (C)
12. Wilton T.
23. Siegwalt L.
13. McInnes C.
Substitutes
14. Dufty M.
14. Colquhoun J.
15. Hubner L.
15. Burns B.
17. Tatola T.
16. Kaufusi O.
18. Mamouzelos P.
17. Hazelton T.
19. Elliott A.
18. Puru H.
21. Graham-Taufa M.
20. Jones R.
Coaches
. Bennett W.
. Fitzgibbon C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (18 - 0)
7', Siegwalt L. (Penalty Goal),
25', Johnston A. (Try),
25', Siegwalt L. (Conversion Goal),
31', Aitken E. (Try),
33', Siegwalt L. (Conversion Goal),
34', Johnston A. (Try),
36', Siegwalt L. (Missed Conversion),
2nd Half (18 - 12)
45', Johnston A. (Try),
46', Siegwalt L. (Conversion Goal),
67', Murray C. (Try),
67', Siegwalt L. (Conversion Goal),
72', Iro K. (Try),
72', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
74', Hiroti M. (Try),
75', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
79', Graham C. (Try),
79', Siegwalt L. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South Sydney won 0.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Cronulla-Sutherland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Cronulla-Sutherland will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, South Sydney won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 350:389. (average 17.5:19.5).
Including home matches between the teams, South Sydney won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 120:124. (average 17.1:17.7).