The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
St Helens 62.4%
Draw 4.9%
Warrington Wolves 32.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
59.5%
4.6%
35.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.5%
4.2%
39.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St Helens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
Warrington Wolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Helens than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St Helens that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warrington Wolves than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Warrington Wolves could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
0%
80%
St Helens - Warrington Wolves Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. St Helens will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Warrington will win (votes: 4 - 80%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:18
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Welsby J.
2. Thewlis J.
4. Percival M.
4. Hopoate A.
6. Sailor T.
5. Ashton M.
7. Lomax J.
9. Walker D.
8. Walmsley A.
10. Harrison J.
9. Clark D.
13. Currie B.
11. Sironen C.
16. Byrne L.
13. Klemmer D.
18. Irwin E.
16. Whitley M.
19. Hayes L.
17. Whitby G.
20. Bentley J.
22. Shorrocks J.
21. Thomas L.
24. Dagnall O.
26. Smith J.
28. Davies J.
29. Gardner Z.
Substitutes
. Suluka-Fifita D.
14. Powell S.
5. Cross D.
15. Sipley T.
12. Wright S.
17. Crowther J.
15. Delaney G.
34. Tanginoa K.
30. Humphreys T.
35. Webster L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (6 - 6)
19', Sailor T. (Try),
19', Sailor T. (Conversion Goal),
40', Hopoate A. (Try),
40', Irwin E. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (0 - 12)
56', Smith J. (Try),
56', Irwin E. (Conversion Goal),
70', Irwin E. (Try),
72', Irwin E. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St Helens won 0.
Recent performances by St Helens have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Warrington is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
St Helens is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St Helens won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 302:325. (average 15.1:16.3).
Including home matches between the teams, St Helens won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 108:109. (average 13.5:13.6).
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Welsby J. 
Hopoate A. 
Byrne L. 
Smith J. 
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