The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
St. George Illawarra Dragons 30.4%
Draw 4.3%
Canberra Raiders 65.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.8%
3.6%
58.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.5%
4%
53.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. George Illawarra Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St. George Illawarra Dragons's form might have worsened.
Canberra Raiders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Canberra Raiders's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. George Illawarra Dragons than the current prediction. (+11.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. George Illawarra Dragons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canberra Raiders than the current prediction. (-11.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Canberra Raiders, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
St. George Illawarra Dragons - Canberra Raiders Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Canberra will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 19:26
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gutherson C. (C)
1. Weekes K.
2. Sloan T.
2. Stuart J.
3. Suli M.
3. Timoko M.
5. Allan C.
4. Kris S.
6. King-Togia L.
5. Savage X.
7. Flanagan K.
6. Strange E.
8. Guler E.
7. Fogarty J.
9. Cook D.
8. Papalii J.
10. Klemmer D.
9. Starling T.
11. Leilua L.
10. Tapine J. (C)
12. Molo M.
11. Young H.
13. De Belin J.
12. Hosking Z.
13. Horsburgh C.
Substitutes
4. Feagai M.
14. Pattie O.
14. Liddle J.
15. Sasagi S.
15. Stewart H.
16. Smithies M.
16. Sele H.
17. Mariota A.
17. Lawrie B.
Coaches
. Flanagan S.
. Stuart R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (10 - 10)
10', Feagai M. (Try),
11', Flanagan K. (Conversion Goal),
24', Timoko M. (Try),
25', Fogarty J. (Missed Conversion),
30', Flanagan K. (Penalty Goal),
33', Flanagan K. (Penalty Goal),
38', Timoko M. (Try),
40', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (8 - 2)
56', Allan C. (Try),
58', Flanagan K. (Conversion Goal),
73', Flanagan K. (Penalty Goal),
76', Fogarty J. (Penalty Goal),
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. George Illawarra won 0.
St. George Illawarra is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Canberra is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
St. George Illawarra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Canberra is a strong favorite.
We predict that Canberra will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. George Illawarra won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 392:461. (average 19.6:23.1).
Including home matches between the teams, St. George Illawarra won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 217:263. (average 19.7:23.9).
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Gutherson C. (C) 
Suli M. 
Timoko M. 
Papalii J. 
Smithies M. 
