The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
St. George Illawarra Dragons 17.4%
Draw 3.3%
Penrith Panthers 79.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
25.7%
3.6%
70.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.8%
3.6%
70.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. George Illawarra Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St. George Illawarra Dragons's form might have worsened.
Penrith Panthers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Penrith Panthers's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. George Illawarra Dragons than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. George Illawarra Dragons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penrith Panthers than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Penrith Panthers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
0%
33.3%
St. George Illawarra Dragons - Penrith Panthers Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. St. George Illawarra will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Penrith will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. St. George Illawarra (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 19:29
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gutherson C. (C)
1. Edwards D.
2. Tuipulotu C.
2. Jenkins T.
3. Buchanan H.
3. Tago I.
4. Feagai M.
4. McLean C.
5. Sloan T.
5. Alamoti P.
6. King-Togia L.
6. Talagi B.
7. Flanagan K.
7. Cleary N. (C)
8. Guler E.
8. Leota M.
9. Cook D.
9. Kenny M.
10. Klemmer D.
10. Smith L.
11. Halangahu J.
11. Sorensen S.
12. Su'A J.
12. Garner L.
13. De Belin J.
13. Yeo I.
Substitutes
14. Liddle J.
14. Schneider B.
15. Leilua L.
15. Henry L.
16. Sele H.
16. Papali'i I.
17. Tonga L.
18. Laurie D.
Coaches
. Flanagan S.
. Cleary I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (6 - 22)
6', Jenkins T. (Try),
7', Cleary N. (Missed Conversion),
16', Alamoti P. (Try),
18', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
20', Flanagan K. (Try),
22', Flanagan K. (Conversion Goal),
33', McLean C. (Try),
35', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
37', Cleary N. (Try),
39', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (14 - 18)
48', Allan C. (Try),
49', Flanagan K. (Missed Conversion),
54', Sloan T. (Try),
55', Flanagan K. (Missed Conversion),
61', Papali'i I. (Try),
62', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
67', Smith L. (Try),
68', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
76', Su'A J. (Try),
76', Flanagan K. (Conversion Goal),
79', Alamoti P. (Try),
80+1', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. George Illawarra won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
St. George Illawarra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Penrith is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, St. George Illawarra won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 261:375. (average 15.4:22.1).
Including home matches between the teams, St. George Illawarra won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 149:201. (average 16.6:22.3).
Australia
New-zealand
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Gutherson C. (C) 
Tuipulotu C. 
Tago I. 
