Match Info
NRL - Round 8Date: 26 April 2026, SundayLocation: McDonald Jones Stadium (Newcastle)Referee: Sutton G. (Aus)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Australia | Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL |
New-zealand | SKY Go NZ |
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Newcastle Knights |
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Penrith Panthers |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 52.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-15)
- The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Newcastle Knights 20.6% | Draw 3.4% | Penrith Panthers 76% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Newcastle Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Penrith Panthers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Newcastle Knights - Penrith Panthers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 19:34 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1. Sharpe F.
| 1. Edwards D.
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2. Young D.
| 2. Jenkins T.
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3. Gagai D.
| 3. Alamoti P.
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4. Hunt F.
| 4. McLean C.
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6. Smith S.
| 5. To'o B.
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7. Brown D.
| 6. Talagi B.
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8. Saifiti J. (C)
| 7. Cleary N. (C)
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9. Crossland P.
| 8. Leota M.
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12. McEwen J.
| 10. Smith L.
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13. Croker M.
| 11. Papali'i I.
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15. Saulo P.
| 12. Garner L.
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17. Manuleleua F.
| 13. Yeo I.
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19. Schiller J.
| 19. Lussick F.
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| Substitutes |
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10. Mooney T.
| 14. Cogger J.
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14. Graham H.
| 15. Sorensen S.
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16. Hopwood C.
| 16. Going K.
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18. McCarthy K.
| 17. Phillips B.
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21. Salesa-Leaumoana E.
| 18. Tago I.
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22. Kepaoa A.
| 21. Cole J.
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| Coaches |
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. Holbrook J.
| . Cleary I.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (6 - 24)
- 12:26, Edwards D. (Try),
- 13:54, Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
- 15:38, Edwards D. (Try),
- 17:10, Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
- 20:00, Edwards D. (Try),
- 21:29, Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
- 28:59, Cleary N. (Try),
- 30:51, Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
- 36:15, Crossland P. (Try),
- 38:00, Smith S. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (6 - 20)
- 47', Lussick F. (Try),
- 49', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
- 52', Brown D. (Try),
- 54', Smith S. (Conversion Goal),
- 64', To'o B. (Try),
- 68', To'o B. (Try),
- 76', Tago I. (Try),
- 78', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 1.In recent matches, Newcastle has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).Penrith is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Newcastle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Penrith is seen as the favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 14 matches, and goals 273:526. (average 13.7:26.3).Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 140:266. (average 14:26.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Penrith Panthers - the odds 1.25 are the expected chance of winning is 74.65%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NRL | | | 08.08.25 | Newcastle Knights - Penrith Panthers | 12:48 | | 24.05.25 | Penrith Panthers - Newcastle Knights | 6:25 | | 04.08.24 | Penrith Panthers - Newcastle Knights | 22:14 | | 16.06.24 | Newcastle Knights - Penrith Panthers | 18:26 | | 24.06.23 | Penrith Panthers - Newcastle Knights | 20:12 | | 15.04.23 | Newcastle Knights - Penrith Panthers | 15:15 | | 12.06.22 | Newcastle Knights - Penrith Panthers | 6:42 |
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