Match Info

NRL - Round 13

Date: 1 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Sydney Football Stadium (Sydney)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
Australia	Fox League, NRL
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
New-zealand	Sky Sport 2
United-kingdom	Sky Go, Sky Sports+


	Sydney Roosters		Canberra Raiders

	1	X	2
	1.57	26	2.5
	2	19	1.83
	1.58	22	2.6
	2.12	22	1.77	Watch
	1.6	21	2.45	Watch
	1.58	22	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2)	22 ↓ (23)	2.29 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 49.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sydney Roosters
54.4%

Draw
4.3%

Canberra Raiders
41.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sydney Roosters has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sydney Roosters's performance.

Canberra Raiders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Canberra Raiders might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney Roosters than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sydney Roosters that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canberra Raiders than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Canberra Raiders could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sydney Roosters - Canberra Raiders Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -5.5 - Sydney (2.20) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sydney Roosters will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sydney Roosters will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Sydney (votes: 9 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:26

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tedesco J. (C)	1. Weekes K.
2. Tupou D.	2. Tamale S.
3. Smith B.	3. Timoko M.
4. Toia R.	4. Kris S.
5. Nawaqanitawase M.	5. Savage X.
6. Smith S.	6. Strange E.
7. Savala H.	8. Horsburgh C.
8. Collins L.	10. Tapine J. (C)
11. Crichton A.	11. Young H.
12. Wong S.	12. Hosking Z.
13. Radley V.	13. Smithies M.
15. Foketi S.	14. Levi D.
20. Ioelu B.	22. Sanders E.
Substitutes
9. Watson C.	9. Pattie O.
10. Leniu S.	15. Sasagi S.
16. Steep B.	16. Papalii J.
17. Butcher E.	17. Mariota A.
23. King E.	18. Martin N.
Coaches
. Robinson T.	. Stuart R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (12 - 4)
5', Nawaqanitawase M. (Try),
7', Smith S. (Conversion Goal),
32', Savage X. (Try),
33', Weekes K. (Missed Conversion),
40', Tedesco J. (Try),
40', Smith S. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (12 - 22)
47', Sasagi S. (Try),
49', Weekes K. (Missed Conversion),
54', Tupou D. (Try),
56', Smith S. (Conversion Goal),
59', Young H. (Try),
60', Sanders E. (Conversion Goal),
63', Tapine J. (Try),
64', Sanders E. (Conversion Goal),
74', Strange E. (Try),
75', Sanders E. (Conversion Goal),
79', Toia R. (Try),
79', Smith S. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 2.

Recent performances by Sydney have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Canberra is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sydney may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Sydney has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 475:329. (average 23.8:16.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Sydney won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 265:168. (average 24.1:15.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sydney Roosters
Australian NRL
24.05.25	Sydney Roosters - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	42:16 ✺
16.05.25	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs - Sydney Roosters	24:20 ✺
02.05.25	Sydney Roosters - Dolphins	36:26 ✺
25.04.25	Sydney Roosters - St. George Illawarra Dragons	46:18 ✺
19.04.25	Sydney Roosters - Penrith Panthers	12:38 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWWL
- Canberra Raiders
Australian NRL
25.05.25	New Zealand Warriors - Canberra Raiders	10:16 ✺
18.05.25	Canberra Raiders - Gold Coast Titans	40:24 ✺
10.05.25	Canberra Raiders - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	20:32 ✺
04.05.25	Melbourne Storm - Canberra Raiders	18:20 OT ✺
27.04.25	Canberra Raiders - Dolphins	40:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NRL
01.09.24	Sydney Roosters - Canberra Raiders	12:14
25.05.24	Canberra Raiders - Sydney Roosters	16:44
25.06.23	Sydney Roosters - Canberra Raiders	18:20
05.06.22	Canberra Raiders - Sydney Roosters	22:16
02.09.21	Canberra Raiders - Sydney Roosters	16:40
29.05.21	Sydney Roosters - Canberra Raiders	44:16
09.10.20	Sydney Roosters - Canberra Raiders	18:22

Sydney Roosters - Canberra Raiders: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide