The best margin for this event is -0.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sydney Roosters 50.2%
Draw 4.7%
St. George Illawarra Dragons 45.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
54.5%
3.9%
41.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.3%
4%
40.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sydney Roosters has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
St. George Illawarra Dragons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney Roosters than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sydney Roosters, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. George Illawarra Dragons than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Sydney Roosters - St. George Illawarra Dragons Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:22
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tedesco J. (C)
1. Gutherson C. (C)
2. Tupou D.
2. Sloan T.
3. Smith B.
3. Suli M.
4. Toia R.
4. Holmes V.
5. Nawaqanitawase M.
5. Finau S.
6. Smith S.
6. Flanagan K.
7. Savala H.
7. Ilias L.
8. Leniu S.
8. Couchman T.
9. Watson C.
9. Cook D.
10. Whyte N.
10. Klemmer D.
11. Crichton A.
12. Su'A J.
12. Wong S.
13. De Belin J.
13. Radley V.
17. Egan D.
Substitutes
14. Dockar-Clay Z.
11. Leilua L.
15. Foketi S.
14. Liddle J.
16. Steep B.
15. Lawrie B.
17. Butcher E.
16. Guler E.
Coaches
. Robinson T.
. Flanagan S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (20 - 6)
3', Smith S. (Try),
5', Smith S. (Conversion Goal),
8', Finau S. (Try),
9', Holmes V. (Conversion Goal),
17', Nawaqanitawase M. (Try),
18', Smith S. (Conversion Goal),
33', Smith S. (Penalty Goal),
36', Smith S. (Try),
37', Smith S. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (26 - 12)
48', Savala H. (Penalty Goal),
50', Steep B. (Try),
51', Savala H. (Conversion Goal),
53', Flanagan K. (Try),
54', Holmes V. (Conversion Goal),
56', Tedesco J. (Try),
57', Smith S. (Conversion Goal),
60', Smith S. (Penalty Goal),
74', Sloan T. (Try),
75', Holmes V. (Conversion Goal),
77', Tedesco J. (Try),
79', Savala H. (Try),
80', Smith S. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Sydney won 3.
Sydney is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches St. George Illawarra is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
St. George Illawarra could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Sydney won 14 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 551:336 (average 27.6:16.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Sydney won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 306:146 (average 30.6:14.6).