Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 1

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday

Location: Ravenhill Stadium (Belfast)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Rugby
Nigeria	SuperSport Rugby
South-africa	SuperSport Rugby
United-kingdom	FloSports app, Premier Sports 2, URC


	Ulster		Edinburgh

	1	X	2
	1.17	34	5
	1.15	28	5.4
	1.19	25.93	4.97	Watch
	1.14	25	4.9
	1.14	26	6
	1.15	28	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.19)	27.82 ↑ (25.93)	5.28 ↑ (4.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 50.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulster
79.3%

Draw
3.3%

Edinburgh
17.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

77.8%

3.6%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Edinburgh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Ulster - Edinburgh Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:19

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (5 - 20)
2nd Half (24 - 14)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ulster won 3.

Ulster holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ulster has recorded 15 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 493:357 (averaging 24.7:17.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ulster against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 207:126 goals (averaging 25.9:15.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	Edinburgh	3	3	0	0	80:54	14
11	Ulster	3	0	2	1	88:93	8

Outrights of United Rugby Championship for now

Ulster: 3.2% Edinburgh: 1.34%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulster Rugby
Challenge Cup Rugby
22.05.26	Montpellier - Ulster	59:26 ✺
United Rugby Championship
15.05.26	Ulster - Glasgow Warriors	22:26 ✺
08.05.26	Ulster - Stormers	38:38 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
02.05.26	Ulster - Exeter Chiefs	29:12 ✺
United Rugby Championship
25.04.26	Munster - Ulster	41:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLTWL
- Edinburgh Rugby
United Rugby Championship
15.05.26	Edinburgh - Connacht	5:26 ✺
09.05.26	Newport Gwent Dragons - Edinburgh	15:24 ✺
24.04.26	Edinburgh - Sharks	33:28 ✺
17.04.26	Edinburgh - Zebre	31:30 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
05.04.26	Leinster - Edinburgh	49:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
13.03.26	Edinburgh - Ulster	19:40
16.05.25	Edinburgh - Ulster	47:17
02.12.23	Ulster - Edinburgh	24:27
21.04.23	Ulster - Edinburgh	28:14
30.04.22	Edinburgh - Ulster	10:16
Pro14 Rainbow Cup
05.06.21	Edinburgh - Ulster	31:31
United Rugby Championship
30.11.20	Edinburgh - Ulster	14:43

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