Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 3

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Sergio Lanfranchi (Parma)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Supersport Action
United-kingdom	FloSports app, Premier Sports 2, URC


	Zebre		Edinburgh

	1	X	2
	3.1	23	1.36
	3.2	24	1.36
	3.17	20.55	1.39	Watch
	3.2	25	1.37
	3.15	23	1.39
	3	22	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↓ (3.17)	22.93 ↑ (20.55)	1.38 ↓ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 52.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zebre
29.3%

Draw
4%

Edinburgh
66.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.1%

4.5%

66.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zebre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Edinburgh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Zebre - Edinburgh Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:30

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (5 - 15)
2nd Half (7 - 14)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zebre won 2.

Zebre may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Edinburgh carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Zebre has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 14 losses, with a goal aggregate of 362:530 (averaging 18.1:26.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Zebre against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with 186:219 goals (averaging 20.7:24.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	Edinburgh	3	3	0	0	80:54	14
16	Zebre	3	0	0	3	52:116	1

Outrights of United Rugby Championship for now

Edinburgh: 1.34% Zebre: 0.74%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zebre Rugby
United Rugby Championship
02.10.26	Cardiff Rugby - Zebre	40:27 ✺
26.09.26	Zebre - Blue Bulls	13:42 ✺
16.05.26	Sharks - Zebre	54:19 ✺
09.05.26	Blue Bulls - Zebre	54:19 ✺
24.04.26	Zebre - Newport Gwent Dragons	18:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Edinburgh Rugby
United Rugby Championship
02.10.26	Edinburgh - Stormers	17:13 ✺
25.09.26	Ulster - Edinburgh	29:34 ✺
15.05.26	Edinburgh - Connacht	5:26 ✺
09.05.26	Newport Gwent Dragons - Edinburgh	15:24 ✺
24.04.26	Edinburgh - Sharks	33:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
17.04.26	Edinburgh - Zebre	31:30
27.09.25	Zebre - Edinburgh	31:28
25.04.25	Zebre - Edinburgh	25:25
14.02.25	Edinburgh - Zebre	17:22
10.05.24	Edinburgh - Zebre	40:14
16.02.24	Zebre - Edinburgh	19:24
07.01.23	Edinburgh - Zebre	24:17

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