Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 3

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Comunale di Monigo (Treviso)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby
Nigeria	SuperSport Rugby
South-africa	SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby
United-kingdom	FloSports app, Premier Sports Rugby, URC


	Benetton Treviso		Lions

	1	X	2
	1.2	26	4.5
	1.19	25	4.7
	1.18	21	5.05
	1.26	26	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.26)	24.5 ↑ (24)	4.56 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 47.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benetton Treviso
76.1%

Draw
3.8%

Lions
20.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

73%

3.8%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benetton Treviso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Benetton Treviso - Lions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:18

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (24 - 10)
2nd Half (17 - 5)

Preview

Lions has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Benetton is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benetton won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 141:127. (average 28.2:25.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Benetton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 70:59. (average 23.3:19.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benetton Treviso rugby
United Rugby Championship
04.10.25	Benetton Treviso - Glasgow Warriors	16:14 ✺
27.09.25	Connacht - Benetton Treviso	26:15 ✺
16.05.25	Munster - Benetton Treviso	30:21 ✺
10.05.25	Benetton Treviso - Glasgow Warriors	33:7 ✺
26.04.25	Stormers - Benetton Treviso	56:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLWL
- Lions Rugby
United Rugby Championship
05.10.25	Zebre - Lions	22:20 ✺
27.09.25	Cardiff Rugby - Lions	33:20 ✺
Currie Cup
20.09.25	Lions - Griquas	25:27 ✺
13.09.25	Lions - Boland Cavaliers	67:19 ✺
06.09.25	Lions - Griquas	37:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
19.04.25	Lions - Benetton Treviso	31:42
Challenge Cup Rugby
06.04.24	Benetton Treviso - Lions	27:17
United Rugby Championship
05.11.23	Benetton Treviso - Lions	15:10
25.03.23	Benetton Treviso - Lions	28:32
30.04.22	Lions - Benetton Treviso	37:29

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benetton Treviso rugby
United Rugby Championship
24.10.26	Benetton Treviso - Glasgow Warriors	✺
- Lions Rugby
United Rugby Championship
23.10.26	Edinburgh - Lions	✺

Benetton Treviso - Lions: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide