Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 2

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Sergio Lanfranchi (Parma)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	FloSports app, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, URC


	Zebre		Lions

	1	X	2
	1.73	19	2.2
	2.1	21	1.73
	1.79	21	2.07
	1.83	21.82	2.04	Watch
	1.64	23	2.34	Watch
	2.05	21	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.19)	21.14 ↑ (20.33)	2.04 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 51.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zebre
50%

Draw
4.4%

Lions
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

4.5%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zebre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zebre's performance.

Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lions might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Zebre - Lions Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Zebre will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Lions will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Zebre (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Lions (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:25

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (12 - 3)
2nd Half (10 - 17)

Preview

Lions's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Lions has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Zebre won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 89:159. (average 22.3:39.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Zebre won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 35:48. (average 17.5:24).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zebre Rugby
United Rugby Championship
27.09.25	Zebre - Edinburgh	31:28 ✺
17.05.25	Zebre - Connacht	12:22 ✺
10.05.25	Leinster - Zebre	76:5 ✺
25.04.25	Zebre - Edinburgh	25:25 ✺
19.04.25	Zebre - Glasgow Warriors	6:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLLTL
- Lions Rugby
United Rugby Championship
27.09.25	Cardiff Rugby - Lions	33:20 ✺
Currie Cup
20.09.25	Lions - Griquas	25:27 ✺
13.09.25	Lions - Boland Cavaliers	67:19 ✺
06.09.25	Lions - Griquas	37:7 ✺
30.08.25	Lions - Blue Bulls	44:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
19.10.24	Zebre - Lions	9:10
25.11.23	Lions - Zebre	61:19
22.04.23	Lions - Zebre	50:35
24.09.21	Zebre - Lions	26:38

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