Match Info

WORLD: Super Rugby - Round 4

Date: 7 March 2025, Friday

Location: Eden Park (Auckland)

Referee: Doleman J. (Nzl)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Rugby
Argentina	Disney+
Australia	Stan Sport
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
France	CANAL+ Sport
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	Sky Sport 1
Nigeria	SuperSport Rugby
Peru	Disney+
South-africa	SuperSport Rugby
United-kingdom	FloSports app, Sky Go, Sky Sports Action
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Blues		Brumbies

	1	X	2
	1.29	26	3.75
	1.27	34	3.5
	1.32	27	3.6
	1.27	40	3.85	Watch
	1.22	26	4.33
	1.28	24	3.92	Watch
	1.32	27	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↑ (1.19)	29.14 ↑ (27.25)	3.79 ↓ (4.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blues
72.4%

Draw
3.2%

Brumbies
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76.7%

3.4%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Brumbies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Blues - Brumbies Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 35:25

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fusitua J.	1. Slipper J.
2. Riccitelli R.	2. Lonergan L.
3. Taavao A.	3. Alaalatoa A.
4. Tuipulotu P.	4. Frost N.
5. Beehre J.	5. Shaw L.
6. Christie C.	6. Hooper T.
7. Segner A.	7. Scott R.
8. Suafoa C.	8. Cale C.
9. Christie F.	9. Goddard H.
10. Barrett B.	10. Meredith D.
11. Clarke C.	11. Toole C.
12. Lam A.	12. Feliuai D.
13. Ioane R.	13. Ikitau L.
14. Telea M.	14. Muirhead A.
15. Forbes C.	15. Wright T.
Substitutes
16. Pole N.	16. Pollard B.
17. Tu'ungafasi O.	17. Schoupp B.
18. Renata M.	18. Fotuaika F.
19. Cook T.	19. Neville C.
20. Clarke C.	20. Reimer L.
21. Nock S.	21. Lonergan R.
22. Plummer H.	22. Debreczeni J.
23. Evans C.	23. Sapsford O.
Coaches
. Cotter V.	. Larkham S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (20 - 10)
10', Barrett B. (Penalty Goal),
13', Meredith D. (Penalty Goal),
17', Barrett B. (Try),
18', Barrett B. (Conversion Goal),
22', Alaalatoa A. (Try),
23', Meredith D. (Conversion Goal),
36', Taavao A. (Try),
39', Ioane R. (Try),
2nd Half (0 - 11)
44', Meredith D. (Penalty Goal),
49', Meredith D. (Try),
80+1', Lonergan L. (Penalty Goal),

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Blues won 4.

In this match Blues is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Blues won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 326:229 (average 25.1:17.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Blues won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 227:130 (average 28.4:16.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blues Rugby
Super Rugby
01.03.25	Hurricanes - Blues	29:33 ✺
22.02.25	Highlanders - Blues	29:21 ✺
15.02.25	Blues - Chiefs	14:25 ✺
22.06.24	Chiefs - Blues	10:41 ✺
14.06.24	Blues - Brumbies	34:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLLWW
- Brumbies Rugby
Super Rugby
28.02.25	Chiefs - Brumbies	49:34 ✺
22.02.25	Brumbies - Western Force	42:45 ✺
14.02.25	Fijian Drua - Brumbies	32:36 ✺
14.06.24	Blues - Brumbies	34:20 ✺
08.06.24	Brumbies - Highlanders	32:16 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Super Rugby
14.06.24	Blues - Brumbies	34:20
20.04.24	Blues - Brumbies	46:7
04.03.23	Blues - Brumbies	20:25
11.06.22	Blues - Brumbies	20:19
21.05.22	Brumbies - Blues	19:21
29.05.21	Blues - Brumbies	38:10
04.05.19	Brumbies - Blues	26:21

Blues - Brumbies: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide