The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hurricanes 86.2%
Draw 2.6%
Blues 11.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
78.6%
2.8%
18.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hurricanes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hurricanes's performance.
Blues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Blues might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
Hurricanes - Blues Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 42:23
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Numia X.
1. Tu'ungafasi O.
2. Aumua A.
2. Slater B.
3. Tosi P.
3. Renata M.
4. Delany C.
4. Tuipulotu P.
5. Dearns W.
5. Darry S.
6. Shields B.
6. Barnes T.
7. Kirifi D.
7. Segner A.
8. Lakai P.
8. Sotutu H.
9. Roigard C.
9. Christie F.
10. Love R.
10. Perofeta S.
11. Fineanganofo F.
11. Clarke C.
12. Barrett J.
12. Taele X.
13. Proctor B.
13. Lam A.
14. Moorby J.
14. Forbes C.
15. Harkin C.
15. Barrett B.
Substitutes
16. Tuputupu R.
16. Oudenryn E.
17. Lauaki S.
17. Tupaea M.
18. Lomax T.
18. Yates F.
19. Walker-Leawere I.
19. Beehre J.
20. Iose B.
20. Clarke C.
21. Enari E.
21. Funaki T.
22. Rova J.
22. Ahki P.
23. Naholo K.
23. Spencer P.
Coaches
. Laidlaw C.
. Cotter V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (19 - 14)
3', Barrett J. (Try),
4', Love R. (Missed Conversion),
7', Tuipulotu P. (Try),
8', Barrett B. (Conversion Goal),
13', Lam A. ↓, Ahki P. ↑,
14', Kirifi D. (Try),
14', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
18', Clarke C. ↓, Spencer P. ↑,
26', Spencer P. (Try),
27', Barrett B. (Conversion Goal),
31', Numia X. (Try),
31', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (38 - 7)
41', Delany C. ↓, Walker-Leawere I. ↑,
41', Christie F. ↓, Funaki T. ↑,
43', Roigard C. (Try),
44', Love R. (Missed Conversion),
47', Moorby J. (Try),
48', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
52', Love R. ↓, Naholo K. ↑,
52', Tosi P. ↓, Lomax T. ↑,
53', Renata M. ↓, Yates F. ↑,
53', Segner A. ↓, Clarke C. ↑,
53', Aumua A. (Try),
54', Barrett J. (Conversion Goal),
55', Numia X. ↓, Lauaki S. ↑,
56', Slater B. ↓, Oudenryn E. ↑,
58', Shields B. ↓, Iose B. ↑,
61', Aumua A. ↓, Tuputupu R. ↑,
61', Tu'ungafasi O. ↓, Tupaea M. ↑,
66', Roigard C. ↓, Enari E. ↑,
67', Enari E. (Try),
68', Barrett J. (Conversion Goal),
68', Proctor B. ↓, Rova J. ↑,
68', Barnes T. ↓, Beehre J. ↑,
74', Naholo K. (Try),
75', Barrett J. (Conversion Goal),
78', Oudenryn E. (Try),
79', Barrett B. (Conversion Goal),
80+2', Moorby J. (Try),
80+3', Barrett J. (Missed Conversion),
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hurricanes won 2.
Hurricanes is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Blues has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Hurricanes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Blues has had a series of away games.
In this match, Hurricanes is the obvious favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hurricanes won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 560:505. (average 28:25.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Hurricanes won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 287:255. (average 28.7:25.5).