Match Info

FRANCE: TOP 14 - ROUND 22

Date: 15 April 2023, Saturday


	Brive		Stade Français

	1	X	2
	2	23	1.87
	1.91	21	1.91
	1.92	24	1.92
	1.99	20	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2)	22 ↑ (20)	1.89 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 47.00

The most likely Handicap: (0)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brive
47.1%

Draw
4.2%

Stade Français
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

4.4%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

4.1%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Stade Français has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brive than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brive that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stade Français than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stade Français could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Brive - Stade Français Predictions

Users Predictions: Brive will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:24

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brive won 2.

Brive has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Stade Français is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Brive could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Brive have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Brive won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 396-382.

Including matches at home between the teams Brive won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 231-157.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Brive
Challenge Cup Rugby
31.03.23	Llanelli Scarlets - Brive	19:7 ✺
French Top 14
25.03.23	Clermont - Brive	38:10 ✺
04.03.23	Brive - Bordeaux Bègles	7:28 ✺
25.02.23	La Rochelle - Brive	32:16 ✺
18.02.23	Racing Métro - Brive	34:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Stade Français
Challenge Cup Rugby
01.04.23	Stade Français - Lyon	24:41 ✺
French Top 14
26.03.23	Stade Français - Racing Métro	13:17 ✺
04.03.23	Toulon - Stade Français	30:9 ✺
25.02.23	Stade Français - Montpellier	27:17 ✺
18.02.23	Aviron Bayonnais - Stade Français	29:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Top 14
22.10.22	Stade Français - Brive	27:0
05.06.22	Stade Français - Brive	17:33
02.10.21	Brive - Stade Français	19:12
08.05.21	Brive - Stade Français	28:31
03.01.21	Stade Français - Brive	51:21
Challenge Cup Rugby
18.01.20	Brive - Stade Français	33:29
French Top 14
01.12.19	Brive - Stade Français	26:21

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