Match Info

Date: 18 December 2020, Friday


	Castres		Newcastle Red Bulls

	1	X	2
	2.2	21	1.72
	2.2	21	1.65
	2.18	23	1.7
	2.11	21	1.67
	2.38	19	1.62
	2.25	25	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.91)	21.67 ↓ (22)	1.67 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 45.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castres
41.2%

Draw
4.2%

Newcastle Red Bulls
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

4.2%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castres's form might have worsened.

Newcastle Red Bulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newcastle Red Bulls's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	0%	86.7%

Castres - Newcastle Red Bulls Predictions

Users Predictions: Newcastle Red Bulls will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:24

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Preview

Castres is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Castres Olympique
Challenge Cup Rugby
12.12.20	Ospreys - Castres	39:15 ✺
French Top 14
06.12.20	Section Paloise - Castres	13:17 ✺
27.11.20	Castres - Clermont	14:40 ✺
13.11.20	Castres - Bordeaux Bègles	29:30 ✺
07.11.20	Toulouse - Castres	16:16 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWLLT
- Newcastle Red Bulls
Challenge Cup Rugby
11.12.20	Newcastle Red Bulls - Cardiff Rugby	20:33 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
05.12.20	Wasps RFC - Newcastle Red Bulls	10:27 ✺
27.11.20	Newcastle Red Bulls - Sale Sharks	15:13 ✺
21.11.20	Bath - Newcastle Red Bulls	12:19 ✺
English Championship Rugby
13.03.20	Newcastle Red Bulls - Bedford Blues	41:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.4 LWWWW

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