Match Info

WORLD: SUPER RUGBY - ROUND 4

Date: 17 March 2023, Friday

Location: Waikato Stadium (Hamilton)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport


	Chiefs		Rebels

	1	X	2
	1.08	41	7.5
	1.1	41	7.5
	1.08	40	7.8
	1.08	34	7
	1.12	43	6.3	Watch
	1.09	40	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.09 ↑ (1.03)	39.83 ↓ (44)	7.15 ↓ (14)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-18)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chiefs
84.7%

Draw
2.3%

Rebels
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

91.2%

2.1%

6.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chiefs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chiefs's form might have worsened.

Rebels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rebels's recent form is better than expected.

Chiefs - Rebels Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 39:21

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chiefs won 5.

Rebels could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Chiefs is absolute favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Chiefs won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 206-109.

Including matches at home between the teams Chiefs won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 72-41.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chiefs Rugby
Super Rugby
10.03.23	Chiefs - Highlanders	28:7 ✺
04.03.23	Moana Pasifika - Chiefs	29:52 ✺
24.02.23	Crusaders - Chiefs	10:31 ✺
10.06.22	Crusaders - Chiefs	20:7 ✺
04.06.22	Chiefs - Waratahs	39:15 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWLW
- Rebels Rugby
Super Rugby
10.03.23	Rebels - Waratahs	34:27 ✺
03.03.23	Rebels - Hurricanes	33:39 ✺
25.02.23	Western Force - Rebels	34:27 ✺
29.05.22	Rebels - Highlanders	31:30 ✺
21.05.22	Hurricanes - Rebels	45:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Super Rugby
15.05.22	Rebels - Chiefs	30:33
06.06.21	Chiefs - Rebels	36:26
14.06.19	Rebels - Chiefs	8:59
17.03.17	Rebels - Chiefs	14:27
21.05.16	Chiefs - Rebels	36:15
02.05.15	Rebels - Chiefs	16:15

Chiefs - Rebels: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide