Match Info

WORLD: SUPER RUGBY - ROUND 3

Date: 10 March 2023, Friday

Location: AAMI Park (Melbourne)

Referee: Gardner A. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport


	Rebels		Waratahs

	1	X	2
	2.88	21	1.44
	2.75	29	1.48
	2.75	25	1.48
	2.62	21	1.5
	2.6	28	1.53	Watch
	2.7	25	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (3.48)	24.83 ↓ (25.2)	1.48 ↑ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rebels
34%

Draw
3.7%

Waratahs
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

3.7%

69.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rebels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rebels's performance.

Waratahs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Waratahs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Rebels - Waratahs Predictions

Users Predictions: Waratahs will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:32

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rebels won 3.

Waratahs will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Rebels won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 451-527.

Including matches at home between the teams Rebels won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 226-246.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rebels Rugby
Super Rugby
03.03.23	Rebels - Hurricanes	33:39 ✺
25.02.23	Western Force - Rebels	34:27 ✺
29.05.22	Rebels - Highlanders	31:30 ✺
21.05.22	Hurricanes - Rebels	45:22 ✺
15.05.22	Rebels - Chiefs	30:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLWLL
- Waratahs Rugby
Super Rugby
04.03.23	Fijian Drua - Waratahs	17:46 ✺
24.02.23	Waratahs - Brumbies	25:31 ✺
04.06.22	Chiefs - Waratahs	39:15 ✺
28.05.22	Waratahs - Blues	17:20 ✺
21.05.22	Highlanders - Waratahs	20:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Super Rugby
19.03.22	Waratahs - Rebels	24:19
24.04.21	Waratahs - Rebels	25:36
19.03.21	Rebels - Waratahs	33:14
29.08.20	Rebels - Waratahs	32:38
24.07.20	Waratahs - Rebels	10:29
14.02.20	Rebels - Waratahs	24:10
31.05.19	Rebels - Waratahs	15:20

Rebels - Waratahs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide