Match Info
Super Rugby - Round 14Date: 15 May 2026, FridayLocation: Waikato Stadium (Hamilton)Referee: Berry N. (Aus)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Chiefs |
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Highlanders |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.1 |
34 |
7 |
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 |
1.09 |
40 |
6.8 |
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 |
1.1 |
29 |
6.5 |
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 |
1.08 |
36 |
8.5 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.09 ↑ (1.08) |
34.75 (34.75) |
7.2 ↓ (7.33) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 57.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-17)
- The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Chiefs 84.5% | Draw 2.7% | Highlanders 12.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chiefs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Highlanders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Chiefs - Highlanders Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Chiefs will win (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 38:21 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1. Norris O.
| 1. de Groot E.
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2. Taukei'aho S.
| 2. Taylor J.
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3. Ahio S.
| 3. Taavao A.
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4. Ah Kuoi N.
| 4. Lavanini T.
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5. Vaa'i T.
| 5. Dunshea M.
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6. Parker S.
| 6. Howden T.
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7. Jacobson L.
| 7. Casey L.
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8. Sititi W.
| 8. Broughton N.
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9. Roe X.
| 9. Lennox A.
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10. Jacomb J.
| 10. Millar C.
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11. Taumoefolau K.
| 11. Lowe J.
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12. Foketi L.
| 12. Tavatavanawai T.
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13. Brown K.
| 13. Tele'a T.
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14. Coombes-Fabling L.
| 14. Tangitau C.
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15. McKenzie D.
| 15. Ratumaitavuki-Kneepkens J.
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| Substitutes |
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16. McAlister B.
| 16. Bell H.
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17. Kumeroa B.
| 17. Lienert-Brown D.
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18. Dyer G.
| 18. Ma'u S.
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19. Sa F.
| 19. Haig O.
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20. Finau S.
| 20. Withy S.
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21. Ratima C.
| 21. Lasaqa V.
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22. Rona D.
| 22. Fakatava F.
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23. Hutchinson I.
| 23. Robinson T.
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| Coaches |
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. McMillan C.
| . Joseph J.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (21 - 7)
- 11', Broughton N. ↓, Lasaqa V. ↑,
- 14', Millar C. (Missed Penalty),
- 19', Casey L. (Try),
- 20', Millar C. (Conversion Goal),
- 26', Sititi W. (Try),
- 27', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
- 29', Lavanini T. 🟨,
- 31', Ah Kuoi N. (Try),
- 32', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
- 36', Taukei'aho S. (Try),
- 37', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (21 - 5)
- 41', Ahio S. ↓, Dyer G. ↑,
- 41', Millar C. ↓, Robinson T. ↑,
- 47', Lavanini T. ↓, Haig O. ↑,
- 47', Foketi L. ↓, Paul R. ↑,
- 53', Jacomb J. ↓, Hutchinson I. ↑,
- 54', Roe X. (Try),
- 54', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
- 54', Taavao A. ↓, Ma'u S. ↑,
- 54', Taylor J. ↓, Bell H. ↑,
- 56', Ratumaitavuki-Kneepkens J. (Try),
- 57', Robinson T. (Missed Conversion),
- 57', Jacobson L. ↓, Finau S. ↑,
- 64', Roe X. ↓, Ratima C. ↑,
- 64', Taukei'aho S. ↓, McAlister B. ↑,
- 64', Norris O. ↓, Kumeroa B. ↑,
- 64', Parker S. ↓, Jacobson L. ↑,
- 64', Lennox A. ↓, Fakatava F. ↑,
- 68', Ah Kuoi N. ↓, Sa F. ↑,
- 68', McKenzie D. ↓, Jacomb J. ↑,
- 73', McAlister B. (Try),
- 74', Jacomb J. (Conversion Goal),
- 74', Withy S. ↓, Stodart W. ↑,
- 74', de Groot E. ↓, Lienert-Brown D. ↑,
- 80+3', Brown K. (Try),
- 80+4', Jacomb J. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chiefs won 5.Chiefs is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).Highlanders's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Chiefs may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Chiefs is the obvious favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chiefs won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 559:483. (average 28:24.2).Including home matches between the teams, Chiefs won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 249:204. (average 27.7:22.7).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Super Rugby | | | 21.02.26 | Highlanders - Chiefs | 23:26 | | 30.05.25 | Highlanders - Chiefs | 24:41 | | 19.04.25 | Chiefs - Highlanders | 46:10 | | 22.03.24 | Chiefs - Highlanders | 28:21 | | 05.05.23 | Highlanders - Chiefs | 28:52 | | 10.03.23 | Chiefs - Highlanders | 28:7 | | 18.02.22 | Chiefs - Highlanders | 26:16 |
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