Match Info
Super Rugby - Round 9Date: 10 April 2026, FridayLocation: Teufaiva Sport Stadium (Nukuสปalofa)Referee: Playle M. (Nzl)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Moana Pasifika |
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Chiefs |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
19 |
51 |
1.01 |
|
 |
12 |
50 |
1.01 |
|
 |
20.18 |
25.66 |
1.01 |
|
 |
13 |
41 |
1.01 |
|
 |
21 |
50 |
1.02 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
17.04 ↓ (19.5) |
43.53 ↑ (26.75) |
1.01 ↓ (1.02) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 68.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-30)
- The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Moana Pasifika 5.5% | Draw 2.1% | Chiefs 92.4% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Moana Pasifika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Chiefs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Moana Pasifika - Chiefs Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 19:49 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1. Hala M.
| 1. Norris O.
|
2. Sanerivi M.
| 2. Thompson T.
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3. Latu P.
| 3. OโNeill R.
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4. Savage T.
| 4. Lord J.
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5. Poloniati V.
| 5. Vaa'i T.
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6. Faiilagi M.
| 6. Finau S.
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7. Jones N.
| 7. Brown J.
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8. Tupou Ta'eiloa S.
| 8. Parker S.
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9. Pulu A.
| 9. Ratima C.
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10. Garden-Bachop J.
| 10. McKenzie D.
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11. Vaihu G.
| 11. Taumoefolau K.
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12. Lalomilo L.
| 12. Tupaea Q.
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13. Latu T.
| 13. Brown K.
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14. Alaimalo S.
| 14. Carter L.
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15. Havili W.
| 15. Coombes-Fabling L.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
16. Moli S.
| 16. McAlister B.
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17. Pole A.
| 17. Proffit J.
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18. Moli A.
| 18. Ahio S.
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19. Tupou J.
| 19. Sa F.
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20. Paea S.
| 20. Jacobson L.
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21. Matavao M.
| 21. Tahuriorangi T.
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22. Pellegrini P.
| 22. Jacomb J.
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23. Pulini T.
| 23. Paul R.
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| Coaches |
|---|
. Umaga T.
| . McMillan C.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 26)
- 5', Tupaea Q. (Try),
- 6', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
- 9', Taumoefolau K. (Try),
- 10', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
- 18', Jones N. ↓, Paea S. ↑,
- 18', Finau S. (Try),
- 19', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
- 22', Carter L. ↓, Jacomb J. ↑,
- 32', Tupaea Q. (Try),
- 32', McKenzie D. (Missed Conversion),
- 36', Jacomb J. ↓, Carter L. ↑,
- 39', Savage T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (17 - 36)
- 44', McKenzie D. (Try),
- 44', McKenzie D. (Missed Conversion),
- 44', Brown K. ↓, Paul R. ↑,
- 44', Norris O. ↓, Proffit J. ↑,
- 44', OโNeill R. ↓, Ahio S. ↑,
- 46', Hala M. ↓, Moli A. ↑,
- 46', Havili W. ↓, Pulini T. ↑,
- 47', Thompson T. (Try),
- 48', McKenzie D. (Missed Conversion),
- 48', Vaa'i T. ↓, Sa F. ↑,
- 49', Savage T. ↓, Tupou J. ↑,
- 49', Garden-Bachop J. ↓, Pellegrini P. ↑,
- 50', Alaimalo S. (Try),
- 51', Pellegrini P. (Conversion Goal),
- 52', Thompson T. ↓, McAlister B. ↑,
- 52', Ahio S. ↓, OโNeill R. ↑,
- 54', Taumoefolau K. (Try),
- 55', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
- 55', Tupaea Q. ↓, Jacomb J. ↑,
- 56', Hala M. ↓, Pole A. ↑,
- 58', Jacomb J. (Try),
- 61', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
- 63', McKenzie D. (Try),
- 64', McKenzie D. (Missed Conversion),
- 65', Ratima C. ↓, Tahuriorangi T. ↑,
- 65', Pulini T. ↓, Havili W. ↑,
- 66', Pulu A. ↓, Matavao M. ↑,
- 66', Brown J. ↓, Jacobson L. ↑,
- 68', Sanerivi M. ↓, Moli S. ↑,
- 68', Pole A. (Try),
- 68', Pellegrini P. (Missed Conversion),
- 68', Finau S. ↓, Thompson T. ↑,
- 71', Faiilagi M. (Try),
- 72', Pellegrini P. (Missed Conversion),
- 75', Thompson T. (Try),
- 76', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moana Pasifika won 0.Moana Pasifika has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).Chiefs's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).Chiefs may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Chiefs is the clear favorite.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Moana Pasifika won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 138:459. (average 17.3:57.4).Including home matches between the teams, Moana Pasifika won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 71:145. (average 23.7:48.3).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Super Rugby | | | 06.03.26 | Chiefs - Moana Pasifika | 57:24 | | 24.05.25 | Chiefs - Moana Pasifika | 85:7 | | 21.03.25 | Moana Pasifika - Chiefs | 35:50 | | 10.05.24 | Moana Pasifika - Chiefs | 7:43 | | 06.04.24 | Chiefs - Moana Pasifika | 68:12 | | 04.03.23 | Moana Pasifika - Chiefs | 29:52 | | 16.04.22 | Chiefs - Moana Pasifika | 45:12 |
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