Match Info
United Rugby Championship - Round 11Date: 31 January 2026, SaturdayLocation: Stadio Sergio Lanfranchi (Parma)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 United-kingdom | FloSports app, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, URC |
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Zebre |
|
Connacht |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.7 |
21 |
1.5 |
|
 |
2.8 |
21 |
1.46 |
|
 |
2.8 |
20.94 |
1.49 |
 Watch |
 |
2.63 |
21 |
1.5 |
|
 |
2.98 |
21 |
1.43 |
|
 |
3 |
21 |
1.42 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.82 ↓
(3.41) |
20.99 ↓
(22.41) |
1.47 ↑
(1.36) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 45.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)
- The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Zebre
32.7% | Draw
4.4% | Connacht
62.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zebre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zebre's performance.Connacht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Connacht might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zebre than the current prediction. (-9.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zebre that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Connacht than the current prediction. (+16.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Connacht could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Zebre - Connacht Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Connacht will win (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:26 
#ad
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 2nd Half (12 - 31)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zebre won 0.Zebre has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Connacht is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). Connacht might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zebre won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 307:692. (average 15.4:34.6).Including home matches between the teams, Zebre won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 182:334. (average 18.2:33.4).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 14 | Connacht | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 56:84 | 5 |
|
| 16 | Zebre | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 52:116 | 1 |
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
Get 25% deposit match up to 125
