Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 14

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Sergio Lanfranchi (Parma)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, URC


	Zebre		Ulster

	1	X	2
	4.33	26	1.22
	4.5	28	1.2
	4.65	25.12	1.22	Watch
	4.33	26	1.22
	5.03	23	1.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.57 ↓ (4.9)	25.62 ↑ (25.5)	1.21 ↑ (1.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 48.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zebre
20.2%

Draw
3.6%

Ulster
76.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

3.6%

77.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zebre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Ulster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Zebre - Ulster Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Ulster will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 19:30

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (7 - 7)
2nd Half (5 - 21)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zebre won 1.

In this match, Ulster is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Zebre won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 253:642. (average 13.3:33.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Zebre won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 163:295. (average 18.1:32.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
10	Ulster	3	0	2	1	88:93	7
16	Zebre	3	0	0	3	52:116	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zebre Rugby
United Rugby Championship
20.03.26	Llanelli Scarlets - Zebre	36:17 ✺
28.02.26	Munster - Zebre	21:7 ✺
31.01.26	Zebre - Connacht	15:31 ✺
24.01.26	Zebre - Glasgow Warriors	21:26 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
17.01.26	Black Lion - Zebre	14:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLLW
- Ulster Rugby
United Rugby Championship
20.03.26	Ulster - Connacht	19:26 ✺
13.03.26	Edinburgh - Ulster	19:40 ✺
28.02.26	Ospreys - Ulster	21:10 ✺
31.01.26	Ulster - Cardiff Rugby	21:14 ✺
24.01.26	Llanelli Scarlets - Ulster	27:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
26.01.25	Ulster - Zebre	14:15
21.10.23	Zebre - Ulster	36:40
25.11.22	Ulster - Zebre	36:15
02.10.21	Zebre - Ulster	3:36
19.03.21	Ulster - Zebre	49:3
16.11.20	Zebre - Ulster	14:57
01.11.19	Ulster - Zebre	22:7

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