Leinster - Edinburgh: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • European Rugby Champions Cup - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday
  • Location: Aviva Stadium (Dublin)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
  • africaAfricaSuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6
    nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Rugby
    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomFloSports app, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
    worldWorldEPCR Rugby TV
    Leinster Edinburgh
    Leinster Edinburgh
    1 X 2
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    Williamhill 1.01 34 13
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.02
    (1.02)
    42.83
    (39.71)
    12.85
    (12.53)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 59.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-27)

    • The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

    #Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

    Current Win Probability

    Leinster
    90.7%
    Draw
    2.2%
    Edinburgh
    7.2%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    90.3% 2.3% 7.4%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leinster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Edinburgh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    100% 0% 0%
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    Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Leinster will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 44:17
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. IrelandPorter A.
      1. ScotlandSchoeman P.
      2. IrelandSheehan D.
      2. ScotlandAshman E.
      3. IrelandFurlong T.
      3. ScotlandRae D.
      4. IrelandMcCarthy J.
      4. ScotlandSykes M.
      5. IrelandRyan J.
      5. ScotlandGilchrist G. (C)
      6. IrelandConan J.
      6. ScotlandMcConnell L.
      7. Irelandvan der Flier J.
      7. ScotlandRichardson D.
      8. IrelandSweetman-Doris C. (C)
      8. ScotlandMuncaster B.
      9. IrelandGibson-Park J.
      9. ScotlandShiel C.
    10. IrelandByrne H.
    10. ScotlandThompson R.
    11. IrelandO'Brien J.
    11. EnglandSatala M.
    12. IrelandOsborne A.
    12. ScotlandLang J.
    13. NewIoane R.
    13. ScotlandCurrie T.
    14. IrelandO'Brien T.
    14. ScotlandGraham D.
    15. IrelandKeenan H.
    15. EnglandO'Conor P.
    Substitutes
    16. IrelandMcCarthy G.
    16. ScotlandBlyth-Lafferty O.
    17. IrelandUsanov A.
    17. SouthVenter B.
    18. IrelandClarkson T.
    18. EnglandHill P.
    19. IrelandDeeny B.
    19. ScotlandYoung G.
    20. IrelandDeegan M.
    20. ScotlandDouglas F.
    21. IrelandMcGrath L.
    21. ScotlandVellacott B.
    22. IrelandFrawley C.
    22. AustraliaTuipulotu M.
    23. IrelandHenshaw R.
    23. ScotlandBrown J.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (28 - 26)
    • 2', O'Brien T. (Try),
    • 3', Byrne H. (Conversion Goal),
    • 9', O'Brien T. (Try),
    • 10', Byrne H. (Conversion Goal),
    • 16', Shiel C. (Try),
    • 20', Thompson R. (Try),
    • 21', Thompson R. (Conversion Goal),
    • 25', O'Brien J. (Try),
    • 26', Byrne H. (Conversion Goal),
    • 28', Thompson R. (Try),
    • 28', Thompson R. (Conversion Goal),
    • 37', Keenan H. (Try),
    • 38', Byrne H. (Conversion Goal),
    • 40', Currie T. (Try),
    • 40+1', Thompson R. (Conversion Goal),
    • 2nd Half (21 - 5)
    • 52', Graham D. (Try),
    • 56', van der Flier J. (Try),
    • 57', Byrne H. (Conversion Goal),
    • 62', Clarkson T. (Try),
    • 63', Byrne H. (Conversion Goal),
    • 65', Ioane R. (Try),
    • 66', Byrne H. (Conversion Goal),

    Preview

  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leinster won 5.
  • In this match, Leinster is the undeniable favorite.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leinster won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 579:353. (average 29:17.7).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Leinster won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 349:152. (average 31.7:13.8).
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    Form
    - easy match; - difficult match;
    - Leinster Rugby
    United Rugby Championship
    27.03.26 Leinster - Llanelli Scarlets 36:19
    21.03.26 Glasgow Warriors - Leinster 38:17
    27.02.26 Cardiff Rugby - Leinster 8:7
    31.01.26 Leinster - Edinburgh 28:20
    24.01.26 Connacht - Leinster 23:34
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5
    WLLWW
    - Edinburgh Rugby
    United Rugby Championship
    28.03.26 Stormers - Edinburgh 33:14
    21.03.26 Lions - Edinburgh 54:17
    13.03.26 Edinburgh - Ulster 19:40
    27.02.26 Edinburgh - Llanelli Scarlets 24:19
    31.01.26 Leinster - Edinburgh 28:20
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2
    LLLWL
    Latest Head to Head
    United Rugby Championship
    31.01.26 Leinster - Edinburgh 28:20
    20.09.24 Edinburgh - Leinster 31:33
    04.11.23 Leinster - Edinburgh 36:27
    04.03.23 Edinburgh - Leinster 27:47
    11.02.22 Leinster - Edinburgh 26:7
    16.11.20 Leinster - Edinburgh 50:10
    11.10.19 Leinster - Edinburgh 40:14