Match Info

Date: 19 March 2022, Saturday


	Exeter Chiefs		Worcester Warriors

	1	X	2
	1.4	21	2.9
	1.44	26	2.8
	1.41	25	2.85
	1.4	21	3
	1.45	21	2.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 (1.42)	22.8 (22.8)	2.89 (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Exeter Chiefs
64.4%

Draw
4%

Worcester Warriors
31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

4.2%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Exeter Chiefs have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Worcester Warriors have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter Chiefs than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Worcester Warriors than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Exeter Chiefs - Worcester Warriors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:25

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Exeter Chiefs won 4.

Exeter Chiefs is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Worcester Warriors is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Exeter Chiefs is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Exeter Chiefs to win the game is with odds 1.42.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Exeter Chiefs won 18 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 742-351.

Including matches at home between the teams Exeter Chiefs won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 355-88.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Exeter Chiefs
English Premiership Rugby
12.03.22	Worcester Warriors - Exeter Chiefs	35:31 ✺
06.03.22	Exeter Chiefs - Sale Sharks	19:12 ✺
27.02.22	Northampton Saints - Exeter Chiefs	31:34 ✺
20.02.22	Newcastle Red Bulls - Exeter Chiefs	14:15 ✺
12.02.22	Exeter Chiefs - Gloucester	24:15 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWWWW
- Worcester Warriors
English Premiership Rugby
12.03.22	Worcester Warriors - Exeter Chiefs	35:31 ✺
05.03.22	London Irish - Worcester Warriors	43:12 ✺
25.02.22	Worcester Warriors - Harlequins	21:29 ✺
18.02.22	Worcester Warriors - Bristol Rugby	19:14 ✺
12.02.22	Sale Sharks - Worcester Warriors	36:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Premiership Rugby
12.03.22	Worcester Warriors - Exeter Chiefs	35:31
09.10.21	Exeter Chiefs - Worcester Warriors	42:5
08.05.21	Exeter Chiefs - Worcester Warriors	41:10
30.01.21	Worcester Warriors - Exeter Chiefs	17:21
30.08.20	Exeter Chiefs - Worcester Warriors	59:7
03.11.19	Worcester Warriors - Exeter Chiefs	20:24
English Premiership Rugby Cup
04.10.19	Worcester Warriors - Exeter Chiefs	19:34

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