Match Info

Premiership Rugby - Round 12

Date: 27 March 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kingston Park (Newcastle) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	06:45	Stan Sport
Czech Republic	20:45	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
New Zealand	08:45	SKY Go NZ
Slovakia	20:45	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
United Kingdom	19:45	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, FloRugby.com, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate


	Newcastle Red Bulls		Exeter Chiefs

	1	X	2
	4.5	34	1.2
	4.5	30	1.2
	4.99	29.48	1.19	Watch
	5	29	1.18
	4.62	23	1.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.72 ↓ (6.84)	29.1 ↓ (30.19)	1.19 ↑ (1.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 54.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-13)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newcastle Red Bulls
19.5%

Draw
3.2%

Exeter Chiefs
77.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

13.6%

3.1%

83.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle Red Bulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newcastle Red Bulls's performance.

Exeter Chiefs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Exeter Chiefs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Newcastle Red Bulls - Exeter Chiefs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 21:34

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brocklebank A.	1. Sio S.
2. McGuigan G.	2. Yeandle J.
3. Palframan R.	3. Roots J.
4. Usher O.	4. Tuima R.
5. Scott A.	5. Zambonin A.
6. Parsons R.	6. Hooper T.
7. Christie T.	7. Vintcent R.
8. Leatherbarrow O.	8. Fisilau G.
9. Benitez Cruz S.	9. Varney S.
10. Connon B.	10. Skinner H.
11. Obatoyinbo Harrison Inumikunfayo	11. Ridl C.
12. Beeckmans R.	12. Rigg W.
13. Hearle A.	13. Lilley N.
14. Wade C.	14. Brown-Bampoe P.
15. Obatoyinbo E.	15. Woodburn O.
Substitutes
16. Fletcher O.	16. Heaven J.
17. Hancock C.	17. Burger E.
18. McCallum M.	18. Tchumbadze B.
19. Clarke F.	19. Pearson L.
20. Gordon T.	20. Worley-Brady F.
21. Elliott J.	21. Cairns T.
22. Healy B.	22. Haydon-Wood W.
23. Spencer O.	23. John D.
Coaches
. Jones S.	. Baxter R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (7 - 31)
5', Brown-Bampoe P. (Try),
6', Skinner H. (Missed Conversion),
10', Ridl C. (Try),
11', Skinner H. (Conversion Goal),
15', Brown-Bampoe P. (Try),
16', Skinner H. (Missed Conversion),
25', Woodburn O. (Try),
26', Skinner H. (Conversion Goal),
31', Wade C. (Try),
32', Connon B. (Conversion Goal),
36', Ridl C. (Try),
37', Skinner H. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (7 - 7)
40', Palframan R. ↓, McCallum M. ↑,
42', Varney S. (Try),
43', Skinner H. (Conversion Goal),
48', Scott A. ↓, Clarke F. ↑,
48', Parsons R. ↓, Gordon T. ↑,
54', Connon B. ↓, Healy B. ↑,
54', Roots J. ↓, Tchumbadze B. ↑,
54', Sio S. ↓, Burger E. ↑,
54', Yeandle J. ↓, Heaven J. ↑,
56', Obatoyinbo E. ↓, Spencer O. ↑,
58', McGuigan G. ↓, Fletcher O. ↑,
60', Zambonin A. ↓, Worley-Brady F. ↑,
60', Hooper T. ↓, Pearson L. ↑,
60', Skinner H. ↓, Haydon-Wood W. ↑,
60', Varney S. ↓, Cairns T. ↑,
68', Usher O. ↓, Hancock C. ↑,
70', Woodburn O. ↓, John D. ↑,
76', Benitez Cruz S. ↓, Elliott J. ↑,
79', Hancock C. (Try),
80', Healy B. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership Rugby (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 1.

Newcastle is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Exeter is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Exeter may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Exeter has had a series of home games.

In this match, Exeter is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 15 matches, and goals 317:540. (average 15.9:27).

Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 171:187. (average 19:20.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
8	Newcastle Red Bulls	4	1	0	3	90:120	8
9	Exeter Chiefs	4	1	0	3	99:133	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle Red Bulls
English Premiership Rugby
21.03.26	Northampton Saints - Newcastle Red Bulls	28:27 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
28.02.26	Harlequins - Newcastle Red Bulls	35:14 ✺
20.02.26	Newcastle Red Bulls - Northampton Saints	21:49 ✺
06.02.26	Leicester Tigers - Newcastle Red Bulls	28:19 ✺
30.01.26	Newcastle Red Bulls - Saracens	12:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Exeter Chiefs
English Premiership Rugby
21.03.26	Exeter Chiefs - Sale Sharks	26:14 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
15.03.26	Leicester Tigers - Exeter Chiefs	66:14 ✺
08.03.26	Exeter Chiefs - Northampton Saints	31:14 ✺
21.02.26	Exeter Chiefs - Bath	31:19 ✺
14.02.26	Exeter Chiefs - Gloucester	48:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premiership Rugby
04.10.25	Exeter Chiefs - Newcastle Red Bulls	38:15
29.03.25	Exeter Chiefs - Newcastle Red Bulls	17:15
18.10.24	Newcastle Red Bulls - Exeter Chiefs	24:18
23.03.24	Exeter Chiefs - Newcastle Red Bulls	25:16
26.11.23	Newcastle Red Bulls - Exeter Chiefs	14:20
11.03.23	Exeter Chiefs - Newcastle Red Bulls	24:5
25.11.22	Newcastle Red Bulls - Exeter Chiefs	24:21

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