Match Info

Super Rugby - Round 12

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Govind Park (Ba) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Williams P. (Nzl)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	01:00	Disney+
Brazil	01:00	Disney+
Chile	00:00	Disney+
Colombia	23:00	Disney+
Mexico	22:00	Disney+
Peru	23:00	Disney+
Uruguay	01:00	Disney+
Venezuela	00:00	Disney+


	Fijian Drua		Highlanders

	1	X	2
	1.57	21	2.5
	1.49	25	2.65
	1.53	17.93	2.69	Watch
	1.5	26	2.63
	1.51	20	2.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.52)	21.99 ↑ (21)	2.64 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fijian Drua
60.8%

Draw
4.2%

Highlanders
35%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.8%

4.4%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

4.3%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Fijian Drua have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Highlanders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fijian Drua than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Highlanders than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Fijian Drua - Highlanders Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:27

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hetet H.	1. de Groot E.
2. Togiatama Z.	2. Taylor J.
3. Doge M.	3. Taavao A.
4. Nasilasila I.	4. Haig O.
5. Mayanavanua T.	5. Dunshea M.
6. Tamani J.	6. Howden T.
7. Salawa K.	7. Lasaqa V.
8. Canakaivata E.	8. Broughton N.
9. Fines-Leleiwasa I.	9. Fakatava F.
10. Armstrong-Ravula I.	10. Millar C.
11. Nasova J.	11. Nareki J.
12. Vakatawa V.	12. Tavatavanawai T.
13. Samusamuvodre T.	13. Tele'a T.
14. Lomani F.	14. Lowe J.
15. Rabitu I.	15. Ratumaitavuki-Kneepkens J.
Substitutes
16. Tagivetaua K.	16. Vikena S.
17. Tuqiri E.	17. Lienert-Brown D.
18. Ravai P.	18. Ma'u S.
19. Vocevoce M.	19. Withy S.
20. Tuwai I.	20. Casey L.
21. Baselala P.	21. Lennox A.
22. Valetini K.	22. Robinson T.
23. Maika T.	23. Tito-Harris X.
Coaches
. Jackson G.	. Joseph J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (12 - 14)
10', Vakatawa V. (Try),
11', Armstrong-Ravula I. (Conversion Goal),
14', Lowe J. (Try),
15', Millar C. (Conversion Goal),
25', Rabitu I. (Try),
26', Armstrong-Ravula I. (Missed Conversion),
37', Lasaqa V. (Try),
38', Millar C. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (12 - 0)
43', Rabitu I. (Try),
44', Armstrong-Ravula I. (Missed Conversion),
48', Canakaivata E. (Try),
49', Armstrong-Ravula I. (Conversion Goal),
50', de Groot E. ↓, Lienert-Brown D. ↑,
50', Taylor J. ↓, Vikena S. ↑,
50', Taavao A. ↓, Ma'u S. ↑,
50', Haig O. ↓, Withy S. ↑,
52', Hetet H. ↓, Tuqiri E. ↑,
54', Togiatama Z. ↓, Tagivetaua K. ↑,
54', Doge M. ↓, Ravai P. ↑,
57', Fakatava F. ↓, Lennox A. ↑,
58', Tamani J. ↓, Tuwai I. ↑,
59', Nareki J. ↓, Tito-Harris X. ↑,
59', Lasaqa V. ↓, Casey L. ↑,
59', Armstrong-Ravula I. ↓, Valetini K. ↑,
62', Rabitu I. 🟨,
67', Tavatavanawai T. ↓, Robinson T. ↑,
67', Nasova J. ↓, Maika T. ↑,
67', Salawa K. ↓, Vocevoce M. ↑,
77', Lomani F. ↓, Baselala P. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 and 11).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Fijian Drua may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Fijian Drua has had a series of away games.

Fijian Drua might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Fijian Drua will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Fijian Drua won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 71:166. (average 17.8:41.5).

Including home match between the teams, Fijian Drua won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:27.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fijian Drua
Super Rugby
26.04.26	Chiefs - Fijian Drua	42:22 ✺
18.04.26	Brumbies - Fijian Drua	28:33 ✺
11.04.26	Fijian Drua - Western Force	24:22 ✺
03.04.26	Crusaders - Fijian Drua	69:26 ✺
28.03.26	Blues - Fijian Drua	40:15 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 LWWLL
- Highlanders Rugby
Super Rugby
25.04.26	Highlanders - Moana Pasifika	27:17 ✺
17.04.26	Blues - Highlanders	47:40 ✺
10.04.26	Highlanders - Brumbies	10:14 ✺
27.03.26	Moana Pasifika - Highlanders	19:39 ✺
20.03.26	Highlanders - Hurricanes	7:50 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Super Rugby
12.04.25	Highlanders - Fijian Drua	43:20
25.05.24	Highlanders - Fijian Drua	39:3
24.03.23	Highlanders - Fijian Drua	57:24
30.04.22	Fijian Drua - Highlanders	24:27

Fijian Drua - Highlanders