Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 2

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Scotstoun Stadium (Glasgow)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	FloSports app, Premier Sports 1, URC


	Glasgow Warriors		Ulster

	1	X	2
	1.11	34	6.5
	1.12	30	6
	1.13	29.85	6.19	Watch
	1.11	28	5.55
	1.18	35	5.11
	1.12	35	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.13 ↑ (1.12)	31.98 ↑ (25.55)	5.89 ↓ (6.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-15)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Glasgow Warriors
81.5%

Draw
2.9%

Ulster
15.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

82.4%

3.6%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Glasgow Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Ulster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Glasgow Warriors - Ulster Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Glasgow Warriors will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 39:24

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (14 - 19)
2nd Half (19 - 14)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Glasgow Warriors won 3.

Ulster could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, Glasgow Warriors enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Glasgow Warriors has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 435:407 (averaging 21.8:20.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Glasgow Warriors against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 282:163 goals (averaging 25.6:14.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	Glasgow Warriors	3	2	1	0	95:72	13
11	Ulster	3	0	2	1	88:93	8

Outrights of United Rugby Championship for now

Glasgow Warriors: 14.73% Ulster: 3.2%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Glasgow Warriors
United Rugby Championship
26.09.26	Munster - Glasgow Warriors	20:26 ✺
06.06.26	Glasgow Warriors - Blue Bulls	21:22 ✺
29.05.26	Glasgow Warriors - Connacht	33:21 ✺
15.05.26	Ulster - Glasgow Warriors	22:26 ✺
08.05.26	Glasgow Warriors - Cardiff Rugby	40:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWW
- Ulster Rugby
United Rugby Championship
25.09.26	Ulster - Edinburgh	29:34 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
22.05.26	Montpellier - Ulster	59:26 ✺
United Rugby Championship
15.05.26	Ulster - Glasgow Warriors	22:26 ✺
08.05.26	Ulster - Stormers	38:38 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
02.05.26	Ulster - Exeter Chiefs	29:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
15.05.26	Ulster - Glasgow Warriors	22:26
21.09.24	Ulster - Glasgow Warriors	20:19
25.11.23	Glasgow Warriors - Ulster	33:20
17.02.23	Glasgow Warriors - Ulster	17:11
24.09.21	Ulster - Glasgow Warriors	35:29
19.02.21	Glasgow Warriors - Ulster	13:19
09.11.20	Ulster - Glasgow Warriors	40:15

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