Match Info

European Rugby Champions Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Scotstoun Stadium (Glasgow)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Rugby
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Nigeria	SuperSport Rugby
South-africa	SuperSport Rugby
United-kingdom	FloSports app, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
World	EPCR Rugby TV


	Glasgow Warriors		Toulon

	1	X	2
	1.2	26	4.5
	1.23	26	4.2
	1.25	26	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↑ (1.21)	26 ↑ (23.67)	4.23 ↓ (4.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 53.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Glasgow Warriors
74.8%

Draw
3.5%

Toulon
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.9%

3.9%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Glasgow Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Toulon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Glasgow Warriors - Toulon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:21

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schickerling P.	1. Gros J.
2. Hiddleston G.	2. Baubigny T.
3. Fagerson Z.	3. Sinckler K.
4. Oguntibeju O.	4. Mezou C.
5. Samuel A.	5. Ribbans D. (C)
6. Fagerson M.	6. Kpoku J.
7. Darge R.	7. Ollivon C.
8. Dempsey J.	8. Shioshvili M.
9. Afshar B.	9. White B.
10. Lancaster D.	10. Albornoz T.
11. Smith O.	11. Tuicuvu S.
12. Tuipulotu S.	12. Sinzelle J.
13. McDowall S.	13. Brex N.
14. Steyn K. (C)	14. Drean G.
15. Mckay J.	15. Jaminet M.
Substitutes
16. Stephen S.	16. Lucchesi G.
17. Bhatti J.	17. Brennan D.
18. Talakai S.	18. Gigashvili B.
19. Williamson M.	19. Halagahu M.
20. Ferrie E.	20. Mercer Z.
21. Fraser A.	21. Serin B.
22. Oliver J.	22. Abadie E.
23. Hastings A.	23. Ferte M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (12 - 17)
10', McDowall S. (Try),
11', Lancaster D. (Conversion Goal),
14', Drean G. (Try),
21', Kpoku J. 🟨,
23', Smith O. (Try),
29', Gros J. (Try),
30', Jaminet M. (Conversion Goal),
37', Drean G. (Try),
2nd Half (7 - 5)
45', Hiddleston G. (Try),
47', Hastings A. (Conversion Goal),
60', Brex N. (Try),

Preview

Toulon's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Glasgow Warriors may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Glasgow Warriors is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Glasgow Warriors won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 113:144. (average 22.6:28.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Glasgow Warriors won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 56:63. (average 18.7:21).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Glasgow Warriors
European Rugby Champions Cup
04.04.26	Glasgow Warriors - Blue Bulls	25:21 ✺
United Rugby Championship
27.03.26	Glasgow Warriors - Benetton Treviso	31:10 ✺
21.03.26	Glasgow Warriors - Leinster	38:17 ✺
28.02.26	Connacht - Glasgow Warriors	15:10 ✺
30.01.26	Glasgow Warriors - Munster	31:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWLW
- RC Toulonnais
European Rugby Champions Cup
04.04.26	Toulon - Stormers	28:27 ✺
French Top 14
28.03.26	Perpignan - Toulon	34:20 ✺
21.03.26	Toulon - Stade Français	27:46 ✺
28.02.26	Lyon - Toulon	13:13 ✺
14.02.26	Toulon - Clermont	14:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

European Rugby Champions Cup
15.12.24	Toulon - Glasgow Warriors	30:29
19.01.24	Glasgow Warriors - Toulon	29:5
Challenge Cup Rugby
19.05.23	Glasgow Warriors - Toulon	19:43
Heineken Cup
18.01.14	Glasgow Warriors - Toulon	8:15
13.10.13	Toulon - Glasgow Warriors	51:28

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