Match Info
Super Rugby - Round 5Date: 13 March 2026, FridayLocation: McLean Park (Napier)Referee: Petrie T. (Nzl)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Australia | Stan Sport |
United-kingdom | Sky Go, Sky Sports+ |
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Hurricanes |
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Western Force |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 63.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-24)
- The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Hurricanes 88.6% | Draw 2.5% | Western Force 8.9% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Hurricanes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Western Force has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Hurricanes - Western Force Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 59.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 44:20 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1. Rakete-Stones P.
| 1. Robertson T.
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2. Devery J.
| 2. Paenga-Amosa B.
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3. Tosi P.
| 3. Johnson-Holmes H.
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4. Delany C.
| 4. Williams J.
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5. Walker-Leawere I.
| 5. Swain D.
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6. Shields B.
| 6. Harris W.
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7. Kirifi D.
| 7. Tizzano C.
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8. Flanders D.
| 8. Champion de Crespigny R.
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9. Roigard C.
| 9. Robertson H.
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10. Harkin C.
| 10. Donaldson B.
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11. Fineanganofo F.
| 11. Kuenzle B.
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12. Barrett J.
| 12. Beale K.
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13. Rova J.
| 13. Bridge G.
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14. Sullivan B.
| 14. Lancaster D.
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15. Moorby J.
| 15. Burey M.
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| Substitutes |
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16. Aumua A.
| 16. Dolly N.
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17. Numia X.
| 17. Pearce M.
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18. Lomax T.
| 18. Epenisa M.
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19. Dearns W.
| 19. Molina F.
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20. Iose B.
| 20. Faifua L.
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21. Viljoen J.
| 21. Hastie N.
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22. Love R.
| 22. Annan T.
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23. Higgins R.
| 23. Stewart H.
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| Coaches |
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. Laidlaw C.
| . Cron S.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (5 - 8)
- 23', Donaldson B. (Penalty Goal),
- 28', Lancaster D. (Try),
- 29', Donaldson B. (Missed Conversion),
- 35', Roigard C. (Try),
- 36', Barrett J. (Missed Conversion),
- 2nd Half (26 - 15)
- 41', Sullivan B. ↓, Love R. ↑,
- 45', Donaldson B. (Penalty Goal),
- 45', Rakete-Stones P. ↓, Numia X. ↑,
- 45', Devery J. ↓, Aumua A. ↑,
- 45', Tosi P. ↓, Lomax T. ↑,
- 45', Delany C. ↓, Dearns W. ↑,
- 49', Shields B. (Try),
- 50', Barrett J. (Conversion Goal),
- 50', Johnson-Holmes H. ↓, Faagase S. ↑,
- 52', Flanders D. (Try),
- 53', Barrett J. (Conversion Goal),
- 53', Robertson H. ↓, Hastie N. ↑,
- 53', Harris W. ↓, Molina F. ↑,
- 55', Paenga-Amosa B. ↓, Dolly N. ↑,
- 60', Harkin C. (Try),
- 61', Barrett J. (Conversion Goal),
- 61', Beale K. ↓, Stewart H. ↑,
- 61', Robertson T. ↓, Pearce M. ↑,
- 65', Flanders D. ↓, Iose B. ↑,
- 65', Harkin C. ↓, Higgins R. ↑,
- 66', Walker-Leawere I. 🟨,
- 67', Roigard C. ↓, Viljoen J. ↑,
- 68', Dearns W. (Try),
- 69', Barrett J. (Missed Conversion),
- 69', Swain D. ↓, Faifua L. ↑,
- 69', Bridge G. ↓, Annan T. ↑,
- 70', Lancaster D. (Try),
- 74', Faifua L. (Try),
- 75', Donaldson B. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hurricanes won 3. In this match, Hurricanes is the obvious favorite.In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Hurricanes won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 310:153. (average 31:15.3).Including home matches between the teams, Hurricanes won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 151:70. (average 37.8:17.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Super Rugby | | | 19.04.25 | Western Force - Hurricanes | 17:17 OT | | 23.02.24 | Western Force - Hurricanes | 14:44 | | 01.04.23 | Hurricanes - Western Force | 45:42 | | 28.05.22 | Western Force - Hurricanes | 27:22 | | 28.05.21 | Hurricanes - Western Force | 43:6 | | 03.06.17 | Western Force - Hurricanes | 12:34 | | 18.03.16 | Hurricanes - Western Force | 41:6 |
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