Match Info

WORLD: SUPER RUGBY - ROUND 13

Date: 20 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Forsyth Barr Stadium (Dunedin)

Referee: Williams P. (Nzl)


	Highlanders		Rebels

	1	X	2
	1.29	26	3.75
	1.28	31	3.75
	1.25	21	4
	1.31	33	3.56	Watch
	1.29	29	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.31)	28 ↑ (24)	3.73 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 65.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Highlanders
71.9%

Draw
3.3%

Rebels
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71%

3.9%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

3.4%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Highlanders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Rebels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Highlanders than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Highlanders that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rebels than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Highlanders - Rebels Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 39:27

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Highlanders won 2.

Highlanders has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Rebels is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rebels could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Highlanders is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Highlanders won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 304-230.

Including matches at home between the teams Highlanders won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 191-134.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Highlanders Rugby
Super Rugby
14.05.23	Brumbies - Highlanders	48:32 ✺
05.05.23	Highlanders - Chiefs	28:52 ✺
28.04.23	Waratahs - Highlanders	21:20 ✺
22.04.23	Western Force - Highlanders	30:17 ✺
08.04.23	Highlanders - Hurricanes	14:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Rebels Rugby
Super Rugby
13.05.23	Waratahs - Rebels	38:20 ✺
07.05.23	Rebels - Brumbies	26:33 ✺
29.04.23	Moana Pasifika - Rebels	33:43 ✺
21.04.23	Rebels - Crusaders	27:43 ✺
08.04.23	Rebels - Blues	17:54 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Super Rugby
29.05.22	Rebels - Highlanders	31:30
30.05.21	Highlanders - Rebels	42:27
28.02.20	Highlanders - Rebels	22:28
01.03.19	Rebels - Highlanders	24:19
14.07.18	Highlanders - Rebels	43:37
31.03.17	Highlanders - Rebels	51:12
26.03.16	Rebels - Highlanders	3:27

Highlanders - Rebels: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide