Match Info
WORLD: SUPER RUGBY - ROUND 6Date: 29 March 2024, FridayLocation: Sydney Football Stadium (Sydney)Referee: Mabey A. (Nzl)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Australia | Stan Sport |
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Waratahs |
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Rebels |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.17 |
26 |
5.5 |
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 |
1.2 |
26 |
4.5 |
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 |
1.26 |
20 |
4.2 |
Watch |
 |
1.22 |
21 |
4.33 |
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 |
1.23 |
21 |
4.37 |
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 |
1.24 |
29 |
4 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.22 ↓ (1.32) |
23.83 ↓ (29) |
4.48 ↑ (3.59) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 58.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)
- The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Waratahs 75.6% | Draw 3.9% | Rebels 20.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Waratahs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)Rebels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rebels might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waratahs than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rebels than the current prediction. (+2.5%)Waratahs - Rebels Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 35:23 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1. Bell A.
| 1. Gibbon M.
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2. Vailanu M.
| 2. Uelese J.
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3. Ross T.
| 3. Talakai S.
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4. Holloway J.
| 4. Smith A.
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5. Sinclair H.
| 5. Salakaia-Loto L.
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6. Swinton L.
| 6. Tualima T.
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7. Gamble C.
| 7. Kemeny J.
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8. Gleeson L.
| 8. Leota R.
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9. Gordon J.
| 9. Louwrens R.
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10. Edmed T.
| 10. Gordon C.
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11. Pietsch D.
| 11. Lancaster D.
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12. Walton J.
| 12. Feliuai D.
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13. Perese I.
| 13. Daugunu F.
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14. Nawaqanitawase M.
| 14. Anderson L.
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15. Jorgensen M.
| 15. Strachan J.
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| Substitutes |
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16. Heaven J.
| 16. Mafi A.
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17. Thompson-Stringer H.
| 17. Eloff C.
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18. Johnson-Holmes H.
| 18. Tupou T.
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19. Amatosero M.
| 19. Canham J.
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20. Hanigan N.
| 20. Nabolakasi M.
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21. Grant J.
| 21. Ekuasi V.
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22. Harrison W.
| 22. Tuttle J.
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23. Foketi L.
| 23. Jooste N.
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| Coaches |
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. Coleman D.
| . Foote K.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (7 - 10)
- 11', Strachan J. ↓, Jooste N. ↑,
- 21', Barrett J. ↓, Thompson-Stringer H. ↑,
- 22', Anderson L. (Try),
- 24', Gordon C. (Conversion Goal),
- 27', Swinton L. (Try),
- 28', Edmed T. (Conversion Goal),
- 32', Sinclair H. 🟨,
- 33', Gordon C. (Penalty Goal),
- 33', Anderson L. ↓, Tuttle J. ↑,
- 40', Vailanu M. ↓, Heaven J. ↑,
- 40', Leota R. ↓, Ekuasi V. ↑,
- 2nd Half (14 - 17)
- 41', Smith A. ↓, Canham J. ↑,
- 44', Talakai S. ↓, Tupou T. ↑,
- 45', Ross T. ↓, Johnson-Holmes H. ↑,
- 49', Nabolakasi M. ↓, Maiava D. ↑,
- 54', Lee-Warner F. ↓, Amatosero M. ↑,
- 54', Perese I. ↓, Grant J. ↑,
- 54', Gordon J. ↓, Foketi L. ↑,
- 54', Maiava D. ↓, Mafi A. ↑,
- 54', Uelese J. ↓, Nabolakasi M. ↑,
- 60', Gleeson L. (Try),
- 61', Edmed T. (Conversion Goal),
- 61', Gibbon M. ↓, Eloff C. ↑,
- 62', Edmed T. ↓, Harrison W. ↑,
- 66', Lancaster D. (Try),
- 72', Tupou T. (Missed Conversion),
- 72', Tupou T. (Try),
- 73', Gordon C. (Conversion Goal),
- 75', Swinton L. ↓, Hanigan N. ↑,
- 75', Tualima T. ↓, Maiava D. ↑,
- 76', Grant J. (Try),
- 76', Harrison W. (Conversion Goal),
- 80', Daugunu F. (Try),
- 80', Gordon C. (Missed Conversion),
Preview
An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).Last 5 head-to-head matches Waratahs won 2. Waratahs is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1). Recent matches Rebels is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2). In this match Waratahs is a favorite.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Waratahs won 13 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 561-479. Including matches at home between the teams Waratahs won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 288-219.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Super Rugby | | | 13.05.23 | Waratahs - Rebels | 38:20 | | 10.03.23 | Rebels - Waratahs | 34:27 | | 19.03.22 | Waratahs - Rebels | 24:19 | | 24.04.21 | Waratahs - Rebels | 25:36 | | 19.03.21 | Rebels - Waratahs | 33:14 | | 29.08.20 | Rebels - Waratahs | 32:38 | | 24.07.20 | Waratahs - Rebels | 10:29 |
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