Match Info

WORLD: SUPER RUGBY - ROUND 3

Date: 8 March 2024, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Mt. Smart Stadium (Auckland) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Pickerill B. (Nzl)


	Moana Pasifika		Rebels

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Moana Pasifika
36.6%

Draw
4.5%

Rebels
58.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45%

3.3%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moana Pasifika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moana Pasifika's form might have worsened.

Rebels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rebels's recent form is better than expected.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:34

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Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Rebels will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Moana Pasifika won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 55-69.

Including matches at home between the teams Moana Pasifika won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 33-43.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moana Pasifika
Super Rugby
02.03.24	Moana Pasifika - Fijian Drua	39:36 ✺
24.02.24	Highlanders - Moana Pasifika	35:21 ✺
03.06.23	Waratahs - Moana Pasifika	24:33 ✺
26.05.23	Fijian Drua - Moana Pasifika	47:46 ✺
19.05.23	Moana Pasifika - Crusaders	7:41 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WLWLL
- Rebels Rugby
Super Rugby
01.03.24	Rebels - Western Force	48:34 ✺
23.02.24	Rebels - Brumbies	3:30 ✺
02.06.23	Brumbies - Rebels	33:17 ✺
26.05.23	Rebels - Western Force	52:14 ✺
20.05.23	Highlanders - Rebels	20:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLWL

Moana Pasifika - Rebels