Match Info
Super Rugby - Round 8Date: 5 April 2025, SaturdayLocation: HBF Park (Perth)Referee: Way J. (Aus)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 Africa | SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | TSN+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Nigeria | SuperSport Rugby |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-africa | SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby |
 United-kingdom | FloSports app |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
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 |
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Western Force |
|
Highlanders |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.62 |
21 |
2.38 |
|
 |
1.61 |
19 |
2.3 |
|
 |
1.64 |
25 |
2.38 |
|
 |
1.66 |
22.42 |
2.34 |
|
 |
1.62 |
23 |
2.3 |
|
 |
1.58 |
26 |
2.43 |
 Watch |
 |
1.64 |
25 |
2.38 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↓
(1.76) |
23.06 ↑
(22.5) |
2.36 ↑
(2.14) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 61.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Western Force
56.8% | Draw
4% | Highlanders
39.1% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Western Force has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Highlanders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western Force than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Highlanders than the current prediction. (-0.4%)Western Force - Highlanders Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Highlanders will win (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:30 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1.  Pearce M.
| 1.  de Groot E.
|
2. Paenga-Amosa B.
| 2. Vikena S.
|
3. Robertson T.
| 3. Ma'u S.
|
4. Williams J.
| 4. Holland F.
|
5. Swain D.
| 5. Dunshea M.
|
6. De Crespigny N.
| 6. Howden T.
|
7. Tizzano C.
| 7. Lasaqa V.
|
8. Ekuasi V.
| 8. Withy S.
|
9. White N.
| 9. Hastie N.
|
10. Donaldson B.
| 10. Robinson T.
|
11. Pietsch D.
| 11. Nareki J.
|
12. Stewart H.
| 12. Tavatavanawai T.
|
13. Tomkinson S.
| 13. Umaga-Jensen T.
|
14. Potter H.
| 14. Tangitau C.
|
15. Grealy M.
| 15. Gilbert S.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
16.  Dolly N.
| 16. Taylor J.
|
17. Moli A.
| 17. Bartlett J.
|
18. Smith J.
| 18. Kautai S.
|
19. Prinsep R.
| 19. Stodart W.
|
20. Harris W.
| 20. Loft M.
|
21. Fines-Leleiwasa I.
| 21. Lennox A.
|
22. Burey M.
| 22. Tele'a T.
|
23. Poolman G.
| 23. Manson M.
|
| Coaches |
|---|
. Cron S.
| . Joseph J.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (19 - 20)
- 8', Pietsch D. ↓, Poolman G. ↑,
- 11', Gilbert S. (Penalty Goal),
- 13', Tizzano C. (Try),
- 15', Donaldson B. (Conversion Goal),
- 17', Nareki J. (Try),
- 18', Gilbert S. (Conversion Goal),
- 20', Gilbert S. (Try),
- 21', Gilbert S. (Conversion Goal),
- 26', Gilbert S. (Penalty Goal),
- 37', Paenga-Amosa B. (Try),
- 38', Donaldson B. (Conversion Goal),
- 40', Grealy M. (Try),
- 40', Donaldson B. (Missed Conversion),
- 2nd Half (10 - 0)
- 41', Vikena S. ↓, Taylor J. ↑,
- 41', Tangitau C. ↓, Manson M. ↑,
- 45', Tavatavanawai T. ↓, Tele'a T. ↑,
- 45', Potter H. (Try),
- 46', De Crespigny N. ↓, Harris W. ↑,
- 46', Paenga-Amosa B. ↓, Dolly N. ↑,
- 48', Donaldson B. (Missed Conversion),
- 48', Withy S. 🟥,
- 48', Howden T. ↓, Stodart W. ↑,
- 48', Potter H. ↓, Burey M. ↑,
- 53', Poolman G. (Try),
- 54', Tele'a T. ↓, Tavatavanawai T. ↑,
- 54', de Groot E. ↓, Bartlett J. ↑,
- 54', Ma'u S. ↓, Kautai S. ↑,
- 54', Hastie N. ↓, Lennox A. ↑,
- 54', Donaldson B. (Missed Conversion),
- 56', Tomkinson S. 🟨,
- 57', Burey M. ↓, Potter H. ↑,
- 63', Ekuasi V. ↓, Prinsep R. ↑,
- 67', Nareki J. 🟨,
- 67', Withy S. ↓, Loft M. ↑,
- 67', Pearce M. ↓, Moli A. ↑,
- 67', Robertson T. ↓, Smith J. ↑,
- 69', Umaga-Jensen T. ↓, Tele'a T. ↑,
- 71', Stewart H. ↓, Burey M. ↑,
- 75', White N. ↓, Fines-Leleiwasa I. ↑,
Preview
Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8).Last 5 head-to-head matches Western Force won 1. Western Force is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1). Recent matches Highlanders is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2). Highlanders could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. Western Force will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Western Force won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 175:310 (average 17.5:31). Including matches at home between the teams Western Force won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 73:138 (average 14.6:27.6).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Super Rugby | | | 27.04.24 | Highlanders - Western Force | 7:6 | | 22.04.23 | Western Force - Highlanders | 30:17 | | 18.03.23 | Highlanders - Western Force | 43:35 | | 13.05.22 | Highlanders - Western Force | 61:10 | | 21.05.21 | Western Force - Highlanders | 15:25 | | 20.05.17 | Western Force - Highlanders | 6:55 | | 01.04.16 | Highlanders - Western Force | 32:20 |
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