Match Info

League One - Round 14

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Mie Suzuka Sports Garden (Suzuka)


	Honda Heat		Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath

	1	X	2
	2.9	21	1.44
	2.99	20.93	1.44
	2.88	21	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↓ (3.56)	20.98 ↓ (21.49)	1.43 ↑ (1.32)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Honda Heat
31.4%

Draw
4.4%

Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath
64.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

4.3%

69.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

3.4%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Honda Heat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Honda Heat's performance.

Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Honda Heat than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (17 - 7)
2nd Half (7 - 10)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Honda Heat won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Suntory Sungoliath is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Honda Heat won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 105:242. (average 17.5:40.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Honda Heat won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 49:92. (average 16.3:30.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Honda Heat
Japan League One Rugby Union
29.03.26	Urayasu D-Rocks - Honda Heat	17:43 ✺
22.03.26	Toshiba Brave Lupus - Honda Heat	22:24 ✺
14.03.26	Honda Heat - Canon Eagles	26:31 ✺
28.02.26	Panasonic Wild Knights - Honda Heat	66:19 ✺
21.02.26	Honda Heat - Shizuoka Blue Revs	26:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWLLW
- Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath
Japan League One Rugby Union
28.03.26	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Panasonic Wild Knights	34:36 ✺
20.03.26	Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath	35:32 ✺
15.03.26	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Toshiba Brave Lupus	60:21 ✺
06.03.26	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars	15:34 ✺
01.03.26	Shizuoka Blue Revs - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath	24:57 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan League One Rugby Union
17.01.26	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Honda Heat	30:15
05.04.25	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Honda Heat	60:31
18.01.25	Honda Heat - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath	19:27
13.04.24	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Honda Heat	60:10
23.12.23	Honda Heat - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath	16:34
28.02.21	Honda Heat - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath	14:31

Honda Heat - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide