Match Info

Top 14 - Round 16

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Marcel-Deflandre (La Rochelle)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 3
United-kingdom	FloSports app


	La Rochelle		Lyon

	1	X	2
	1.29	26	3.75
	1.21	26	4.4
	1.32	23.31	3.79	Watch
	1.29	26	3.75
	1.23	19	4.39
	1.28	31	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↑ (1.21)	25.22 ↑ (24.2)	3.99 ↓ (5.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 49.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Rochelle
73.1%

Draw
3.7%

Lyon
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77.6%

3.9%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Rochelle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

La Rochelle - Lyon Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. La Rochelle will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:20

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wardi R.	1. Rey J.
2. Lespiaucq-Brettes Q.	2. Marchand G.
3. Sclavi J.	3. Ainsley J.
4. Kante-Samba C.	4. Lambey F.
5. Cancoriet J.	5. Roux J.
6. Fraindt K.	6. Cretin D.
7. Botia L.	7. Botha A.
8. Alldritt G. (C)	8. Simmonds S.
9. Couillaud N.	9. Couilloud B. (C)
10. Hastoy A.	10. Meliande M.
11. Niniashvili D.	11. Wainiqolo J.
12. Seuteni U.	12. Millet T.
13. Favre J.	13. Masi I.
14. Nowell J.	14. Dumortier E.
15. Leyds D.	15. Lorre G.
Substitutes
16. Sutidze N.	16. Sarragallet M.
17. Penverne L.	17. Aptsiauri I.
18. Huchet S.	18. William T.
19. Andjisseramatchi L.	19. Geraci K.
20. Bosmorin H.	20. Cassang C.
21. West I.	21. Parisien A.
22. Seguret A.	22. Allen L.
23. Kuntelia A.	23. Gomes Sa C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (7 - 31)
3', Lorre G. (Try),
4', Meliande M. (Conversion Goal),
14', Botia L. 🟨,
15', Meliande M. (Penalty Goal),
24', Simmonds S. (Try),
25', Meliande M. (Conversion Goal),
28', Dumortier E. (Try),
29', Meliande M. (Conversion Goal),
36', Millet T. (Try),
36', Meliande M. (Conversion Goal),
39', Niniashvili D. (Try),
40', Hastoy A. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (17 - 13)
42', Cancoriet J. (Try),
43', Hastoy A. (Conversion Goal),
44', Marchand G. 🟨,
46', Seuteni U. (Try),
59', Nowell J. (Try),
63', Hastoy A. 🟨,
63', Dumortier E. 🟨,
64', Meliande M. (Penalty Goal),
73', Wainiqolo J. (Try),
74', Meliande M. (Conversion Goal),
80', Meliande M. (Penalty Goal),

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Rochelle won 3.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, La Rochelle is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, La Rochelle won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 514:439. (average 25.7:22).

Including home matches between the teams, La Rochelle won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 278:136. (average 30.9:15.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
6	Lyon	5	3	0	2	177:174	14
7	Stade Rochelais	5	3	0	2	116:119	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- La Rochelle
French Top 14
25.01.26	Clermont - La Rochelle	32:27 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
18.01.26	La Rochelle - Harlequins	17:27 ✺
10.01.26	Leinster - La Rochelle	25:24 ✺
French Top 14
04.01.26	La Rochelle - Toulon	66:0 ✺
28.12.25	Toulouse - La Rochelle	60:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLWL
- Lyon OU
French Top 14
24.01.26	Racing Métro - Lyon	35:34 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
18.01.26	Lyon - Benetton Treviso	19:38 ✺
10.01.26	Lions - Lyon	42:33 ✺
French Top 14
03.01.26	Lyon - Section Paloise	22:17 ✺
27.12.25	Castres - Lyon	36:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Top 14
25.10.25	Lyon - La Rochelle	19:36
15.02.25	Lyon - La Rochelle	53:17
05.10.24	La Rochelle - Lyon	43:22
17.02.24	Lyon - La Rochelle	28:17
26.08.23	La Rochelle - Lyon	35:14
04.02.23	La Rochelle - Lyon	16:20
10.09.22	Lyon - La Rochelle	21:23

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