Match Info
United Rugby Championship - Round 5Date: 25 October 2025, SaturdayLocation: Ellis Park Stadium (Johannesburg)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, URC |
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Lions |
|
Ulster |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.95 |
19 |
1.95 |
|
 |
2.05 |
23 |
1.79 |
|
 |
2.16 |
22.06 |
1.77 |
 Watch |
 |
2.1 |
21 |
1.83 |
|
 |
2.05 |
20 |
1.84 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↓
(2.16) |
21.01 ↓
(22.06) |
1.84 ↑
(1.77) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 53.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Lions
45% | Draw
4.4% | Ulster
50.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Ulster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Lions - Ulster Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lions (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:28 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (17 - 19)
- 2nd Half (32 - 12)
Preview
Recent form of Lions has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins). In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Lions won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 99:111. (average 24.8:27.8).Including home matches between the teams, Lions won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 72:61. (average 36:30.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| United Rugby Championship | | | 28.09.24 | Lions - Ulster | 35:22 | | 17.11.23 | Ulster - Lions | 24:17 | | 15.10.22 | Lions - Ulster | 37:39 | | 15.10.21 | Ulster - Lions | 26:10 |
|
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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