Match Info
European Rugby Champions Cup - Round 3Date: 10 January 2026, SaturdayLocation: Parc y Scarlets (Llanelli)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Africa | SuperSport Rugby, SuperSport Variety 1 |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4 |
 Nigeria | SuperSport Rugby |
 South-africa | SuperSport Rugby |
 United-kingdom | FloRugby.com, FloSports app, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, S4C Digital |
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Llanelli Scarlets |
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Section Paloise |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.29 |
26 |
3.75 |
|
 |
1.22 |
25 |
4.3 |
|
 |
1.25 |
26 |
4 |
|
 |
|
|
|
 Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.25 ↓
(1.28) |
25.67 ↑
(25.33) |
4.02 ↑
(3.82) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 49.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)
- The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Llanelli Scarlets
73.5% | Draw
3.6% | Section Paloise
22.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Llanelli Scarlets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Section Paloise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Predictions
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Scarlets (votes: 1 - 100%).
Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 30:21 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1.  Mathias K.
| 1.  Etchebehere A.
|
2. Elias R.
| 2. Delhommel Y.
|
3. Thomas H.
| 3.  Zabala J.
|
4.  Lousi S.
| 4. Jolmes T.
|
5. Ball J.
| 5. Capelli M.
|
6. Plumtree T.
| 6. Zegueur S.
|
7. Macleod J. (C)
| 7.  Hewat R.
|
8.  Anderson F.
| 8. Tuipulotu C.
|
9. Hughes A.
| 9. Daubagna T. (C)
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10. Hawkins J.
| 10. Desperes A.
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11. Mee E.
| 11. Butlin T. R.
|
12. James E.
| 12. Valentino Q.
|
13. Roberts J.
| 13. Decron N.
|
14. Rogers T.
| 14. Arfeuil G.
|
15. Murray B.
| 15. Attissogbe T.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
16.  van der Merwe M.
| 16. Rey L.
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17.  Hepburn A.
| 17. Seneca R.
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18. O'Connor H.
| 18. Tokolahi S.
|
19. Price J.
| 19. Liufau B.
|
20. Davis D.
| 20. Iosefo X.
|
21. Blacker D.
| 21. Tauiliili-Pelesasa P.
|
22. Leggatt-Jones C.
| 22.  Robson D.
|
23. Nicholas I.
| 23. Mondinat C.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (24 - 26)
- 9', Hawkins J. (Penalty Goal),
- 10', Butlin T. R. (Try),
- 11', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
- 15', Butlin T. R. (Try),
- 18', Mondinat C. (Try),
- 19', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
- 24', Macleod J. (Try),
- 24', Hawkins J. (Conversion Goal),
- 28', Tuipulotu C. (Try),
- 28', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
- 35', Hewat R. 🟨,
- 38', Macleod J. (Try),
- 39', Hawkins J. (Conversion Goal),
- 40+1', Hughes A. (Try),
- 40+2', Hawkins J. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (14 - 21)
- 44', Plumtree T. (Try),
- 45', Hawkins J. (Conversion Goal),
- 51', Decron N. 🟨,
- 51', Hawkins J. (Try),
- 52', Hawkins J. (Conversion Goal),
- 58', Seneca R. (Try),
- 59', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
- 66', Attissogbe T. (Try),
- 67', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
- 77', Tokolahi S. (Try),
- 78', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
Recent form of Scarlets has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).Section Paloise has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Section Paloise may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Scarlets is a strong favorite. Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
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