Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 2

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Thomond Park (Limerick)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ireland	TG4 app Ireland, TG4 Ireland
United-kingdom	FloSports app, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, URC


	Munster		Cardiff Rugby

	1	X	2
	1.11	34	6.5
	1.14	34	5.5
	1.11	30	6.4
	1.25	20.98	4.33	Watch
	1.13	23	6.53
	1.15	26	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↑ (1.15)	28 ↓ (28.33)	5.79 ↑ (5.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 48.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-15)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Munster
80.7%

Draw
3.3%

Cardiff Rugby
16%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

80%

3.2%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Munster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Cardiff Rugby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Munster - Cardiff Rugby Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:17

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (5 - 5)
2nd Half (18 - 15)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Munster won 3.

In this match, Munster is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Munster won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 588:430. (average 29.4:21.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Munster won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 360:207. (average 36:20.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Munster Rugby
United Rugby Championship
27.09.25	Llanelli Scarlets - Munster	21:34 ✺
31.05.25	Sharks - Munster	25:24 penalties ✺
16.05.25	Munster - Benetton Treviso	30:21 ✺
09.05.25	Munster - Ulster	38:20 ✺
25.04.25	Cardiff Rugby - Munster	26:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWWL
- Cardiff Rugby
United Rugby Championship
27.09.25	Cardiff Rugby - Lions	33:20 ✺
16.05.25	Stormers - Cardiff Rugby	34:24 ✺
10.05.25	Blue Bulls - Cardiff Rugby	45:21 ✺
25.04.25	Cardiff Rugby - Munster	26:21 ✺
19.04.25	Ospreys - Cardiff Rugby	19:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
25.04.25	Cardiff Rugby - Munster	26:21
30.03.24	Munster - Cardiff Rugby	20:15
17.09.22	Cardiff Rugby - Munster	20:13
29.04.22	Munster - Cardiff Rugby	42:21
Pro14 Rainbow Cup
28.05.21	Munster - Cardiff Rugby	31:27
United Rugby Championship
26.02.21	Cardiff Rugby - Munster	11:20
26.10.20	Munster - Cardiff Rugby	38:27

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