Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Cape Town Stadium (Cape Town)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Rugby
Nigeria	SuperSport Rugby
South-africa	SuperSport Rugby
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, S4C Clic, S4C Digital, S4C, URC


	Stormers		Cardiff Rugby

	1	X	2
	1.11	34	6.5
	1.08	35	7.2
	1.12	30.19	6.84	Watch
	1.11	34	6.5
	1.08	36	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.1 ↑ (1.08)	33.84 ↑ (32.67)	7.21 ↓ (7.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 49.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-15)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stormers
84.4%

Draw
2.7%

Cardiff Rugby
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

84.6%

2.8%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stormers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Cardiff Rugby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Stormers - Cardiff Rugby Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Stormers will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:18

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (21 - 7)
2nd Half (23 - 14)

Preview

Stormers has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cardiff has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Stormers is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stormers won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 138:110. (average 27.6:22).

Including home matches between the teams, Stormers won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 74:27. (average 37:13.5).

Outrights of United Rugby Championship for now

Stormers: 16.77% Cardiff Rugby: 0.81%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	Cardiff Rugby	2	2	0	0	61:42	9
8	Stormers	2	1	0	1	42:32	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stormers Rugby
United Rugby Championship
15.05.26	Cardiff Rugby - Stormers	22:16 ✺
08.05.26	Ulster - Stormers	38:38 ✺
25.04.26	Stormers - Glasgow Warriors	48:12 ✺
18.04.26	Stormers - Connacht	24:33 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
04.04.26	Toulon - Stormers	28:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LTWLL
- Cardiff Rugby
United Rugby Championship
15.05.26	Cardiff Rugby - Stormers	22:16 ✺
08.05.26	Glasgow Warriors - Cardiff Rugby	40:17 ✺
24.04.26	Cardiff Rugby - Ospreys	24:21 ✺
18.04.26	Llanelli Scarlets - Cardiff Rugby	24:28 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
04.04.26	Benetton Treviso - Cardiff Rugby	38:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
15.05.26	Cardiff Rugby - Stormers	22:16
16.05.25	Stormers - Cardiff Rugby	34:24
24.11.23	Cardiff Rugby - Stormers	31:24
22.10.22	Cardiff Rugby - Stormers	30:24
20.03.22	Stormers - Cardiff Rugby	40:3

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